Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

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  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    Hi Gary:

    I believe a regulation was passed that the election date is fixed for Oct. 17, 2015 (but that the Govt. can call it earlier, if they so choose). I do not think the government can go beyond this outside date.

    Bob A
    Hi Bob,

    You're probably right about the date.

    I'm starting to like Trudeau's chances of forming the next government. The TV attack ads against him shouldn't hurt too much because a lot of us watched him grow up in the public spotlight.

    I still don't like the NDP's chances of forming the government. Looking at Alberta and their experiment with the NDP is interesting. While they have only recently won in that province, the NDP is supposed to be the political party for the workers. The big question which comes to mind is why so many working people are losing their jobs in that province since the election.

    I was also reading the minimum wage in that province will go to $15. an hour. Having always felt a business which can't afford to pay a employee a decent living wage probably shouldn't be in business, it will be interesting to see how many will choose to continue to operate with that minimum.

    I was looking at the financials for one oil sands company yesterday. Oil is just under $60. US a barrel today. The cost of operating currently runs around $50. US a barrel for that company. A very slim margin and dependent on the currency exchange rate. With increased carbon taxes, income taxes and royalty rates it will be interesting to see where the company cuts to get their cost down. Usually the first things to consider is cutting capital expenditures and get rid of salaries.

    A problem with the NDP is while they support workers, the climate, etc. etc,, they can't control the ability or willingness of the corporations to pay up.

    In any case, people elect the government they can afford and Alberta is a rich province.

    Gary

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  • Jack Maguire
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Why not save Canadian taxpayers the exorbitant expense of an election and follow the good example in P.E.I. and settle all future elections by a coin flip (:

    http://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/liberal-w...t-tie-1.238136

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
    By the way, Bob, my $20. tells me it's brave and willing to go out into the world if need be..

    Do you think the election will be this fall or next spring?
    Hi Gary:

    I believe a regulation was passed that the election date is fixed for Oct. 17, 2015 (but that the Govt. can call it earlier, if they so choose). I do not think the government can go beyond this outside date.

    Bob A

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    By the way, Bob, my $20. tells me it's brave and willing to go out into the world if need be..

    Do you think the election will be this fall or next spring?

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    Need more be said? Start talking to your $ 20 bill now, about moving to my study, Gary!

    Bob A
    Hi Bob,

    I have no idea who will win the federal election. I'm mostly interested in watching Alberta and their experiment with the NDP. So far the oil and gas sector seems to be voting with their feet.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Re: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    Poll suggests Tories and NDP currently in statistical tie: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/...d.html?cmp=rss

    I know you don't believe in polls, Gary, but they do often have currency. I knew you'd want to know about this one - will stir your commitment to get that $ 20 saved up in advance!!

    Bob A, NDP supporter
    NDP leads!!! A neck and neck 3-way race now.......StephenJustin is self-destructing!

    https://twitter.com/hashtag/cdnpoli?src=hash

    Need more be said? Start talking to your $ 20 bill now, about moving to my study, Gary!

    Bob A
    Last edited by Bob Armstrong; Wednesday, 13th May, 2015, 11:46 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Mini-Poll (Quebec Only) - Feb.: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    It's hard to know how recent events will effect the federal election, if at all.

    http://news.nationalpost.com/2015/02...es-saying-yes/

    This might well help Mulcair.

    I'll have to rethink my vote in the federal election.

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Mini-Poll (Quebec Only) - Feb.: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post

    What do you think Gary? Who is going to form the government, and majority or minority?
    Hi Bob,

    I don't know but think it will be a Liberal government. Minority government is not on the ballot, something voters should remember.

    Elections are often on a riding by riding basis. Lots of people don't simply head to the polls looking to support a particular leader.

    In this riding, which has been split in two with redistribution, the incumbent conservative will be facing a popular councilor who is the Liberals choice. Judging by the lawn signs Door to Door mail delivery is an issue. Also, as the Nuclear plant is scheduled to close in 2020, some literature the Conservative incumbent sent Today says he will propose building a "spent nuclear fuel" recycling facility on the site. We'll see how many folks want that in their back yard.

    Without knowing the other party platforms on the issues it's hard to guess who will win.

    My guess is this riding goes Liberal. But, it's only a guess.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Mini-Poll (Quebec Only) - Feb.: Canada - Next Federal Gov't?

    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    Poll suggests Tories and NDP currently in statistical tie: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/...d.html?cmp=rss

    I know you don't believe in polls, Gary, but they do often have currency. I knew you'd want to know about this one - will stir your commitment to get that $ 20 saved up in advance!!

    Bob A, NDP supporter
    Hi Gary:

    Now we could go on and on about the value of polls this far in advance of an election, but I'm sure we've covered that ad nauseam in our prior polls. Our fans of this thread ;) probably need some relief from that. So I'll just post the most recent CROP/Quebec poll:

    LPC 33 - down 4 - still twice as high as under Iggy (14%)
    NDP 30 - up 3
    Bloc 17 - steady over 2 months
    CPC 16 - steady over 2 months

    The main issues for me are two:

    1. If CPC gets very few seats in Quebec, and lose some elsewhere, if they could manage to defy odds and polls, it will likely have to be a minority government - at least that may slow down the damage rate some.

    2. If the NDP is to just stay in as the official opposition, they cannot collapse in Quebec as some have predicted they are. But it is NOT an #NDP collapse. However, it is true that the #NDP are down 13 points from Layton in 2011 (43%). Still, if Justin manages to put his foot in his mouth on some Quebec hot-button issue, the NDP will be the one to reap the benefit.

    What do you think Gary? Who is going to form the government, and majority or minority?

    Bob

    P.S. My $ 20 bill on my chess book cabinet in my study tells me the room is a bit cold this year. I tell him maybe your place might be warmer than ours next Oct. It goes into hissy fits every time I try to prepare him for this eventuality.

    Leave a comment:


  • Mark S. Dutton
    replied
    Time for a change in canada!

    Stephen Joseph Harper, PC MP (born April 30, 1959) is a Canadian politician who is the 22nd and current Prime Minister of Canada and the Leader of the Conservative Party. Harper became prime minister in 2006, forming a minority government after the 2006 election. He is the first prime minister to come from the newly reconstituted Conservative Party, which formed after a merger of the Progressive Conservative Party and the Canadian Alliance.

    The time has come (October 2015) for a change from the current "King of Canada".

    For more than 9 years (since Feb. 6, 2006) and 4 elections, Canada keeps voting the "would-be King" back into power. Time for a change? You betcha!

    I live in the Federal Riding of Saanich which is represented by the only elected Green Party MP - Elizabeth May!

    I sure hope that the rest of Canada wakes up and votes for a candidate who is NOT "conservative". -- that's right -- "ABC" -- anyone but Conservative.

    In Ontario, a member of our "chess family" was introduced: Gary Gladstone - The Best Liberal Candidate for King-Vaughan Riding: https://t.co/efELD8M70R

    Take a look at this video and consider that it is time to "change the King"

    I am hoping that the chess community will support someone like Gary Gladstone!

    http://www.garygladstone.ca/pics_vids

    Click image for larger version

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  • Nigel Hanrahan
    replied
    Re: Year End Review review

    Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
    Personally, I wouldn't believe much I read from RT anymore than I'd believe everything I read in the Canadian papers. Maybe I'll have a look sometime and see if you're directing me to some Bolshevik rantings.
    RT seems to be oriented to a generic "alternative" approach from the MSM. They have left AND right. It's a strange mixture for those who use a traditional political scorecard. They are state-supported, like the CBC and BBC, and also claim to be independent of advertisers and government. Maybe compare RT to Al-Jazeera; both are pretty good on many international issues, with critical coverage not found in the MSM, but their domestic coverage is much less critical.

    Anyway, enjoy your new year.
    Last edited by Nigel Hanrahan; Sunday, 28th December, 2014, 03:34 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Year End Review review

    Originally posted by Nigel Hanrahan View Post

    That's why I say that someone reading the Nazional Post has probably already made up their mind, politically speaking. But who's to say...

    BTW, RT has smartphone AND tablet versions. They are the first newschannel to break the one billions hits on their YouTube channel. Amazing.
    Personally, I wouldn't believe much I read from RT anymore than I'd believe everything I read in the Canadian papers. Maybe I'll have a look sometime and see if you're directing me to some Boshevik rantings.

    Today is my 48th wedding anniversary so I can't get into politics other than to tell you I'm most likely to vote for someone who will promise to keep my door to door mail delivery intact. It's really the main issue for me.

    This is a busy time of the year, Nigel. Boxing day (which co-incidently is Checkmate's birthday) the crowd comes over and more eating. This year was very nice because I had a 10 year old chess student. Then one day of rest and left overs. Then anniversary and more eating. Two days to recover and it's just in time for New Years Eve and probably visitors on New years day. I suppose my pension cheque will come rolling in somewhere along the line.

    January 2nd the diet starts.
    Last edited by Gary Ruben; Monday, 29th December, 2014, 12:50 PM.

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  • Nigel Hanrahan
    replied
    Year End Review review

    Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
    No. It likely indicates the person has a tablet and downloaded the free app.
    haha. What a clever reply. But, I dunno. Wouldn't they get the app from RT if they wanted information about the new Russian military doctrine rather than from a source that would likely be critical and negative? I mean, doesn't everyone go to original sources first?

    That's why I say that someone reading the Nazional Post has probably already made up their mind, politically speaking. But who's to say...

    BTW, RT has smartphone AND tablet versions. They are the first newschannel to break the one billions hits on their YouTube channel. Amazing.

    Leave a comment:


  • Gary Ruben
    replied
    Re: Year End Review

    Originally posted by Nigel Hanrahan View Post
    Anyone who makes a habit of reading the National Post has already decided how they're going to vote in the next election, don't you think?
    No. It likely indicates the person has a tablet and downloaded the free app.

    Leave a comment:


  • Nigel Hanrahan
    replied
    Year End Review

    Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
    Here's a little something which might have some effect on the choices people make of the stance they want the government to take on foreign affairs.
    Anyone who makes a habit of reading the National Post has already decided how they're going to vote in the next election, don't you think?

    Leave a comment:

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