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I expected someone else would have done this by now...
This Poll is to see what CT posters predict about the WC match. To reduce the number of options, this poll asks you to predict the winner and the winning margin. So "Anand +2" means you think Anand will win with a 2 point margin (which covers two possible final scores: Anand wins 6.5-4.5 or Anand wins 7-5). Similarly, "Carlsen +4" means Carlsen wins by 4 points (either 7-3 or 6.5 - 2.5).
There are two middle options for predicting a winner if it goes to a tiebreak.
The poll will be closed once the match starts.
edit apparently I can't edit the poll at all once it has been created, otherwise I would close it Nov 8 at midnight EST, rather than the time the CT software chose for it, which will be after game 1. :P
42
Anand +4 (or more)
0.00%
0
Anand +3
0.00%
0
Anand +2
7.14%
3
Anand +1
11.90%
5
Anand (in playoff)
4.76%
2
Carlsen (in playoff)
2.38%
1
Carlsen +1
19.05%
8
Carlsen +2
50.00%
21
Carlsen +3
4.76%
2
Carlsen +4 (or more)
0.00%
0
The poll is expired.
Last edited by John Upper; Friday, 8th November, 2013, 03:43 PM.
Reason: corrected +2 score to "6.5-4.5"; poll close time :P
While I don't mind the score, I care about the winner - Magnus Calsen shall place an order in the chess world, when the champion is a leader in all terms.
In 1972, I predicted the correct score for Fischer-Spassky, and won $50 worth of chess books (worth a lot more than that today!) - compliments of Vlad (then Walter) Dobrich! :-)
You can watch it all on your mobile device. I dloaded the App Fide World Championship Match 2013. However, I expect to be sleeping while it's being played.
I predict Anand by 2 based on when the first decisive game occurs:
Game 1-4: First to lose is World Champion
Game 5-6: First to win is World Champion
Game 7-11: Anand retains with +2
Game 12: Will not be the first decisive game
Thanks. I'll have to see how my formula for this one works out.
I long ago stopped caring about who wins games and events. Only that they are played according to the rules. Probably too many years of being an arbiter. Although, I do tend to root for Canadians or people having a good event.
I expected someone else would have done this by now...
This Poll is to see what CT posters predict about the WC match. To reduce the number of options, this poll asks you to predict the winner and the winning margin. So "Anand +2" means you think Anand will win with a 2 point margin (which covers two possible final scores: Anand wins 6-4 or Anand wins 7-5). Similarly, "Carlsen +4" means Carlsen wins by 4 points (either 7-3 or 6.5 - 2.5).
There are two middle options for predicting a winner if it goes to a tiebreak.
The poll will be closed once the match starts.
I'm asking this not to be nit-picky, but in case there's a match scoring detail I'm not aware of.
How can Anand win 6-4? Doesn't that leave 2 games left that Carlsen could win to tie it 6-6?
Maybe you meant 6.5 - 4.5, and the 12 game wouldn't be played?
Only the rushing is heard...
Onward flies the bird.
Under the Rules and Regulations for the FIDE World Championship Match 2013 we have
3.6.1 Conditions of victory
The FWCM 2013 shall be played over a maximum of twelve (12) games and the winner of the match shall be the first player to score 6.5 points or more. A tie shall be broken according to Article 3. Below. If the winner scores 6.5 points in less than 12 games that the organizer can re-schedule the Closing Ceremony for an earlier date.
I expected someone else would have done this by now...
This Poll is to see what CT posters predict about the WC match. To reduce the number of options, this poll asks you to predict the winner and the winning margin. So "Anand +2" means you think Anand will win with a 2 point margin (which covers two possible final scores: Anand wins 6.5-4.5 or Anand wins 7-5). Similarly, "Carlsen +4" means Carlsen wins by 4 points (either 7-3 or 6.5 - 2.5).
There are two middle options for predicting a winner if it goes to a tiebreak.
The poll will be closed once the match starts.
Can anyone comment on how good Carlsen is in shorter time control play? I haven't followed his career much and the only thing I know about him is that he is somewhat famous for snatching victory from the jaws of dedraw.
Anand became famous as a prolific player in short time controls, maybe one of the best ever. Even in long time controls at the elite level, he played shockingly quick games. How does Carlsen compare in that respect at this still-early stage of his career?
My thinking is, Anand will frustrate Carlsen by holding many games to draws... each player may win a regular time control game, I'm even thinking Anand may strike first in that regard and Carlsen will even it quickly. Game 1, with Anand as Black, will be crucial to Anand succeeding at such a strategy.
Then they go into the tie-break, and I don't know how Carlsen does in the shorter game, but I bet that's exactly where Anand would like the title decided.
If Carlsen does win, whether in tie-break or not, I hesitate to join the bandwagon that says he'll rejuvenate chess. In a way, it's similar to thinking back in 2000 or so that Kid Rock would rejuvenate the rock music scene. I'm sure there were people who believed that. Plus, does Carlsen have any quality of coolness besides being young and (supposedly) handsome?
Chess is a serious game, and Carlsen seems to convey seriousness (not good for chess rejuvenation). Does he even have a sense of humour?
Only the rushing is heard...
Onward flies the bird.
In 1972, I predicted the correct score for Fischer-Spassky, and won $50 worth of chess books (worth a lot more than that today!) - compliments of Vlad (then Walter) Dobrich! :-)
In April of that year, I made an insane even-money bet with Gerry Lassen that Fischer would win by 12.5 to 8.5. All other scores paid off to him. I was very happy when Fischer won the 21st game!
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Poll: Anand or Carlsen: predict the score
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