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My first three alternate choices for 2016 WCC Challeger (no particular order): Caruana, Giri, So - the new younger (!) generation. And Carlsen will have trouble!
Anyone you'd take out, and substitute?
I just hope all 3 make it to the Candidates, Bob. Caruana, of course, should qualify since he's the current leader of the Grand Prix and would also seem likely to secure one of the two ratings spots. Giri certainly now has a shot at that 2nd rating spot but likely no better than 50%. So either needs to finish 1st/2nd in the World Cup (a veritable crap shoot) or, more likely, be given the Wild Card spot.
Given the Candidates is scheduled for the U.S., my guess is that spot will go to either So or Nakamura. If Nakamura manages to qualify via the Grand Prix, then both him and So could possibly end up in the Candidates. If Nakamura doesn't qualify via the Grand Prix, or the World Cup, then the choice between Nakamura and So could get real interesting. Given Nakamura's abysmal record against Carlsen, there are many who would prefer to see So in the Candidates since he's viewed as having a far better chance at upsetting Carlsen then Nakamura ever would.
I feel that there should be a Chinese challenger in the top five in a year’s time but find myself utterly unable to make a choice!
The Chinese challenger I'd most like to see make the Candidates, Wayne, is Ding Liren, currently #14 in the world. I just love his playing style and he'd surely enhance any tournament. Yu Yangyi is close to Ding Liren in ability, currently #22 in the world, and 2 years younger (20 vs 22) but not quite in the same excitement league. Wei Yi, imho, needs to manage his time better and have a better grasp of Rook endgames to be mentioned in the same breath as Ding and Yu. Of course, he is only 15 so he's only going to get better (:
Last edited by Jack Maguire; Monday, 2nd February, 2015, 02:42 AM.
My first three alternate choices for 2016 WCC Challeger (no particular order): Caruana, Giri, So - the new younger (!) generation. And Carlsen will have trouble!
Anyone you'd take out, and substitute?
Well I don't think Carlsen would have that much trouble. Maybe he would with Caruana though.....I'd take out So and put in Grischuck, I mean he is 2810! only 1 point behind Caruana!! Sure So is 2888, but he's really new to the top. I think in a candidates tournament he'd do well, but I think it's unfair (as many did with Caruana after the Sinquefield) to take his preformance at Tata and say that's how well he plays, and he can/will achieve that at the next tournament he plays. He's very well prepared, but is he good enough to win the candidates? He's young and that will help him, but 14 round robin is very long, and the only big tournament he's played in that I can think of is Tata Steel. (Millionaire chess was good, but I mean no one from the top 15 played in it, so it mean's absolutely nothing in view of the candidates). Of course everyone wants to see a Nakamura-Carlsen match but that's really unrealistic. I'd say 1. Caruana 2. Grischuck and 3. Giri. I hope Kramnik and Aronian both play in the candidates (one of them will almost certainly!) but unless Aronian starts playing like he did at the beginning of 2014 that's probably not going to happen. I think that a Chinese challenger will come soon, but we'll see which one of them does it. I might not say top 5 yet, there's some names in there that are hard to get out! However definately top 10.
Lawrence Trent, who made my day yesterday by playing a Staunton Gambit, is already in a deep think after Victor Bologan's 3rd move. The game has started 1.Nf3 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.b4 and Lawrence's brain has now been churning for 20 plus minutes in how best to respond (:
Behind Nakamura at 6.5/7 there are four players with 6/7, Yu Yangyi, David Howell, Daniel Naroditsky and Axel Bachmann. With three rounds to go, there is another host of players including Svidler, Hou Yifan, Harikrishna, Jakovenko and Vitiugov, who are pressing.
_______
Daniel Naroditsky won yesterday with an Albin Countergambit and today with a Reti with no piece developed after 11 moves:
R8 Pairings are available. Nakamura vs Yu Yangyi on board 1 of course. Kevin Spraggett will be on board 9 against Maxim Matlakov (2695). And we'll finally be able to see an Eric Hansen game who is on board 17 against IM Eylon Nakar (Eric has only played 1 GM and not a single player higher rated than himself).
Pairings are available now and we once again will get to view a live Kevin Spraggett game who has yet to lose a single game and will be on board #15, playing Black against Emil Sutovsky. Eric Hansen is on board 26, also Black, against yet another iM, Lawrence Trent. Jonathan Yu is on board 34 with White against GM Mohammed Al-Sayed.
There are 3 non-GMs playing on the top 10 boards tomorrow, IM Dennis Wagner (2501), IM Eylon Nakar (2419), and WGM Padmini Rout (2388), all with 6/8. Padini Rout has obviously taken her game to a new level. The 2008 U14 Girls WYCC Champion had the highest percentage score in Tromso (93.75% from her 7.5/8) and has now beaten 3 GMs in a row at Gibraltar. She plays her 7th GM tomorrow, Harikrishna (2723), with Black, so may well be hard pressed to stretch her winning streak. With 2 rounds to go, she's tied with Yifan Hou for the top female prize, who also has a very tough opponent tomorrow, Richard Rapport.
Last edited by Jack Maguire; Tuesday, 3rd February, 2015, 08:19 PM.
- Hikaru wins in impressive style over Yu Yangyi at Gibraltar to 7½/8!! Live rating up to 2795!
He chose the Alapin because he wanted something peaceful today. Nakamura played a knight to the rim to win. On move 4, Na3 replaced the more standard 4. d4, and was a move Nakamura prepared "five years ago." "I felt like playing something peaceful... all the Chinese players are super well prepared," Nakamura explained. "I could have gone into just any one of a million Sicilians, but I would have had to castle queenside. It would have ended with some position where I'm attacking on one side and he's trying to mate me on the other side. I didn't feel like playing one of those games today."
The point of 4. Na3 is many-fold: you can then come to b5 and threaten tricks on c7, White's bishop can use the c4 square, and the knight can redeploy to a square that assists with playing a later d4.
He gets along well with Elisabeth. She cannot resist asking about the Vancura position in yesterday’s game and Hikaru says that he has drawn it at least three times. Always on the defending side. After six hours he was tired. He missed the win and came back and had to win again. He knew the draw was always there. He seemed quite happy but was still looking back over his shoulder at his competition.
There are 3 non-GMs playing on the top 10 boards tomorrow, IM Dennis Wagner (2501), IM Eylon Nakar (2419), and WGM Padini Rout (2388), all with 6/8. Padmini Rout has obviously taken her game to a new level. The 2008 U14 Girls WYCC Champion had the highest percentage score in Tromso (93.75% from her 7.5/8) and has now beaten 3 GMs in a row at Gibraltar. She plays her 7th GM tomorrow, Harikrishna (2723), with Black, so may well be hard pressed to stretch her winning streak. With 2 rounds to go, she's tied with Yifan Hou for the top female prize, who also has a very tough opponent tomorrow, Richard Rapport.
Those who believe Padmini can keep her streak going, can get 14/1 odds on that happening. Even the draw odds are 41/10.
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