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It's been an interesting discussion. I can contribute a little on CFC rating stability. I examine the health of the system every three months and have been doing so for about ten years. I have access to a great diagnostic program built by Vincent Chow which in turn replaced a similar program built by Roger Patterson.
Starting with the average rating of our strong players: Since the introduction of the bonus point formula in March 2012, the average rating of the top 100 players started at 2356 and stood at 2358 at the end of June 2020. During this period, the high was 2370 and the low was 2336. No evidence of strong players benefiting from the bonus formula.
Moving to the intermediate players, I monitor all players rated above 1200 active in the preceding year. This group started in March 2012 at 1732 and stood at 1710 at the end of June 2020. During this period the high was 1750 and the low was 1690. There might be a tiny bit of deflation there, but not enough to warrant action yet.
The situation when considering all players shows more volatility as expected because we now include the lower end - beginners and fading players. This group started in March 2012 at 1210 and stood at 1292 at the end of March 2020. I used March in this case as there seems to be a data anomaly for June 2020 (a jump to 1373). This group has gained rating points whichever way you look at it.
The first conclusion is that the top 100 are stable. This is very important for players competing in outside Canada.
The second conclusion is that the lower rated players have moved up a bit compared to the 1200+ players. The bonus formula may have had a role in this but there are other factors at play that make it difficult to form a conclusion. We used to turn a blind eye, for example, to junior events submitted for regular rating that did not meet the necessary conditions. The elimination of this practice may have had a role in keeping very low rated players out of the system until they have more experience.
Starting with the average rating of our strong players: Since the introduction of the bonus point formula in March 2012, the average rating of the top 100 players started at 2356 and stood at 2358 at the end of June 2020. During this period, the high was 2370 and the low was 2336. No evidence of strong players benefiting from the bonus formula.
Moving to the intermediate players, I monitor all players rated above 1200 active in the preceding year. This group started in March 2012 at 1732 and stood at 1710 at the end of June 2020. During this period the high was 1750 and the low was 1690. There might be a tiny bit of deflation there, but not enough to warrant action yet.
The situation when considering all players shows more volatility as expected because we now include the lower end - beginners and fading players. This group started in March 2012 at 1210 and stood at 1292 at the end of March 2020. I used March in this case as there seems to be a data anomaly for June 2020 (a jump to 1373). This group has gained rating points whichever way you look at it.
The first conclusion is that the top 100 are stable. This is very important for players competing in outside Canada.
The second conclusion is that the lower rated players have moved up a bit compared to the 1200+ players. The bonus formula may have had a role in this but there are other factors at play that make it difficult to form a conclusion. We used to turn a blind eye, for example, to junior events submitted for regular rating that did not meet the necessary conditions. The elimination of this practice may have had a role in keeping very low rated players out of the system until they have more experience.
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