The One and Only Climate Change thread...

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  • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

    Originally posted by Ed Seedhouse View Post
    Jason of course has never read Kuhn's book. He is merely citing it in an attempt to sound impressive. He's failing at that, too.
    I have read Kuhns book... several times at that and have it on my book shelf. It is one of my favorite philosophical texts. Perhaps YOU should read it.

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    • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

      Science is CONSTANTLY changing? really?? Thats news to me, you must be joking, I thought science just stayed the exact same and never changed and could never be questioned, oh wait that's religion.

      Richard Dawkins also talks about that in one of his books, about how science is constantly compounding which is why a child can learn things that the greatest scientists of the past had no idea about.


      Dawkins is wrong. Read Kuhns book and you will get an actually historical perspective by an expert in the field. Your (and Dawkins) view of science doesnt hold up to the historical evidence.

      As for your book, I will look it up as it sounds like an interesting read :)
      Last edited by Jason Lohner; Friday, 3rd September, 2010, 03:52 PM.

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      • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

        Originally posted by Jason Lohner View Post
        Science is CONSTANTLY changing? really?? Thats news to me, you must be joking, I thought science just stayed the exact same and never changed and could never be questioned, oh wait that's religion.

        Richard Dawkins also talks about that in one of his books, about how science is constantly compounding which is why a child can learn things that the greatest scientists of the past had no idea about.


        Dawkins is wrong. Read Kuhns book and you will get an actually historical perspective by an expert in the field. Your (and Dawkins) view of science doesnt hold up to the historical evidence.

        As for your book, I will look it up as it sounds like an interesting read :)
        Wait what? if science doesn't compound then we would lose all of the science ever proved in all of history. Science has to compound or else the scientific method falls apart. Can you tell me exactly why science doesn't compound or how science progresses without compounding(because to me that is how science advances and becomes more complete).
        University and Chess, a difficult mix.

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        • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

          Originally posted by Adam Cormier View Post
          Wait what? if science doesn't compound then we would lose all of the science ever proved in all of history. Science has to compound or else the scientific method falls apart. Can you tell me exactly why science doesn't compound or how science progresses without compounding(because to me that is how science advances and becomes more complete).
          And of course Kuhn never said anything of the sort. His book, these days, is considered interesting and an original viewpoint back in 1962 when it was written. But many flaws and mistakes in it have been pointed out in the 48 years since it was published. Kuhn was not a scientist but a philosopher observing a subset of scientists. Some of what he claimed does occur, but not nearly to the extent he believed. Scientist are, of course, human beings and have the normal set of human faults.

          What makes me laugh is that these silly ideas about science are being promulgated on a medium which would not exist without the very science they decry.

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          • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

            Originally posted by Kerry Liles View Post

            No dice. We could send every chess player in Canada and we still wouldn't finish in the top 20. I don't have anything to do with selecting who represents Canada; I leave that to the experts.
            Well, where do you figure the team will finish? Maybe we can work something on that.

            I get a laugh out of players who get their clocks cleaned in an event and they claim illness. When I started playing chess I made that mistake. It was in the 1950's. An old man at the event took me to the side and told me that nobody ever beats a well chess player. A defeated chess player always has a cold or a flu or didn't sleep well or has a headache.

            The man told me when a chess player loses a game and whines about an illness he didn't only lose the game. He lost his pride.
            Gary Ruben
            CC - IA and SIM

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            • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

              Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
              Well, where do you figure the team will finish? Maybe we can work something on that.

              I get a laugh out of players who get their clocks cleaned in an event and they claim illness. When I started playing chess I made that mistake. It was in the 1950's. An old man at the event took me to the side and told me that nobody ever beats a well chess player. A defeated chess player always has a cold or a flu or didn't sleep well or has a headache.

              The man told me when a chess player loses a game and whines about an illness he didn't only lose the game. He lost his pride.
              I'm sure some people actually have occurred problems/illnesses OTB. Back when I was a 1400(I'm 1950 now) I played in the PWC Toronto Open and had 2.5/3 in the U1600 and was playing really well, then I got a migraine...and lost both my next games. So things like that can happen...not saying they always do we have a player in Brantford who is always tired, or was focusing on his job, etc...

              Ed Seedhouse, I'm just going to wait for Mr.Lohner to express his opinion on why Dawkins and myself are wrong, and how he can justify saying science does not compound.
              Last edited by Adam Cormier; Friday, 3rd September, 2010, 08:46 PM.
              University and Chess, a difficult mix.

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              • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                Originally posted by Adam Cormier View Post
                I'm sure some people actually have occurred problems/illnesses OTB. Back when I was a 1400(I'm 1950 now) I played in the PWC Toronto Open and had 2.5/3 in the U1600 and was playing really well, then I got a migraine...and lost both my next games. So things like that can happen...not saying they always do we have a player in Brantford who is always tired, or was focusing on his job, etc...
                I know it can happen. However, if you are well enough to play the game and lose, it shouldn't be the excuse. I've noticed no matter how sick I've felt during a game, if I win I always feel better. Winning a chess game while I'm sick works better than an antibiotic.

                Put up a sign at the club. WHINING AND COMPLAINING AFTER A LOSS SHOULD BE DONE AT HOME.
                Gary Ruben
                CC - IA and SIM

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                • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                  Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
                  I know it can happen. However, if you are well enough to play the game and lose, it shouldn't be the excuse. I've noticed no matter how sick I've felt during a game, if I win I always feel better. Winning a chess game while I'm sick works better than an antibiotic.

                  Put up a sign at the club. WHINING AND COMPLAINING AFTER A LOSS SHOULD BE DONE AT HOME.
                  I'll have to tell Rob Gashgarian (he's the president) to put that sign up sounds like a good idea.
                  University and Chess, a difficult mix.

                  Comment


                  • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                    Originally posted by Adam Cormier View Post
                    Ed Seedhouse, I'm just going to wait for Mr.Lohner to express his opinion on why Dawkins and myself are wrong, and how you can justify saying science does not compound.
                    Just to clarify, because your wording is a bit unclear to me, I did not say that science doesn't compound. It does compound.

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                    • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                      Originally posted by Ed Seedhouse View Post
                      Just to clarify, because your wording is a bit unclear to me, I did not say that science doesn't compound. It does compound.
                      No I know you know science compounds(yeah my wording was awkward, i edited it, should have used the word he instead of you), I was waiting for Mr.Lohner to explain how he can justify saying mine, Dawkins (and probably just about any one who studies any branch of science) view(I'm certain it is a fact) is incorrect that science compounds.
                      Last edited by Adam Cormier; Friday, 3rd September, 2010, 08:47 PM.
                      University and Chess, a difficult mix.

                      Comment


                      • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                        On the question of whether the atmospheric carbon rise is caused my humans or not, the rational among us may care to read "Why does atmospheric CO2 rise ?" by Jan Schloerer an actual, you know, scientist.

                        His explanation of the abundance of various isotopes of carbon in the atmosphere and the conclusions to be drawn from them is only part of his paper, but I quote it below:

                        "The unstable carbon isotope 14C or radiocarbon makes up for roughly 1 in 10**12 carbon atoms in earth's atmosphere. 14C has a half-life of about 5700 years. The stock is replenished in the upper atmosphere by a nuclear reaction involving cosmic rays and 14N [Butcher, p 240-241]. Fossil fuels contain no 14C, as it decayed long ago. Burning fossil fuels should lower the atmospheric 14C fraction (the`Suess effect'). Indeed, atmospheric 14C, measured on tree rings, dropped by 2 to 2.5 % from about 1850 to 1954, when nuclear bomb tests started to inject 14C into the atmosphere [Butcher, p 256-257] [Schimel 95, p 82]. This 14C decline cannot be explained by a CO2 source in the terrestrial vegetation or soils.

                        The stable isotope 13C amounts to a bit over 1 % of earth's carbon, almost 99 % is ordinary 12C [Butcher, p 240]. Fossil fuels contain less 13C than air, because plants, which once produced the precursors of the fossilized organic carbon compounds, prefer 12C over 13C in photosynthesis (rather, they prefer CO2 which contains a 12C atom) [Butcher, p 86]. Indeed, the 13C fractions in the atmosphere and ocean surface waters declined over the past decades [Butcher, p 257] [C.Keeling] [Quay] [Schimel 94, p 42]. This fits a fossil fuel CO2 source and argues against a dominant oceanic CO2 source. Oceanic carbon has a trifle more 13C than atmospheric carbon, but 13CO2 is heavier and less volatile than 12CO2, thus CO2 degassed from the ocean has a 13C fraction close to that of atmospheric CO2 [Butcher, p 86] [Heimann]. How then should an oceanic CO2 source cause a simultaneous drop of 13C in both the atmosphere and ocean ?

                        Overall, a natural disturbance causing the recent CO2 rise is extremely unlikely."

                        The citations quoted above may also be found on the web page pointed to above, should you care to read the actual papers cited.

                        Comment


                        • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                          Originally posted by Ed Seedhouse View Post

                          Overall, a natural disturbance causing the recent CO2 rise is extremely unlikely."
                          The word "unlikely" is a disclaimer word. Strictly for bumpkins who just fell off a turnip wagon.
                          Gary Ruben
                          CC - IA and SIM

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                          • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                            Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
                            The word "unlikely" is a disclaimer word. Strictly for bumpkins who just fell off a turnip wagon.
                            But he didn't just say "unlikely" he said "extremely unlikely". But as usual Garriorory can only cherry pick and spin. Spin Glarry spin.

                            Commonly, by the way, when a scientist says "unlikely" he (or she) usually means that the likelyhood of being wrong is less than 5%, and when he says "extremely unlikely" he usually means that the likelyhood of being wrong is less than 1%.

                            To bring in some chess content, a player who beats another player 95% of the time is performing at 470 ELO points better than the other, and a player who beats another player 99% of the time is performing at 677 points better.

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                            • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                              Originally posted by Ed Seedhouse View Post
                              Commonly, by the way, when a scientist says "unlikely" he (or she) usually means that the likelyhood of being wrong is less than 5%, and when he says "extremely unlikely" he usually means that the likelyhood of being wrong is less than 1%.

                              To bring in some chess content, a player who beats another player 95% of the time is performing at 470 ELO points better than the other, and a player who beats another player 99% of the time is performing at 677 points better.
                              Weasel words. 5% is once every 20 times. If someone is doing an operation on you a 95% chance is pretty good. Unless you happen to be one of the 5%.

                              Your chess rating analogy is meaningless.

                              Will you be taking part in the labour day parade? If so, will you walk it or ride in a polluting bus?
                              Gary Ruben
                              CC - IA and SIM

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                              • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                                Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
                                Will you be taking part in the labour day parade? If so, will you walk it or ride in a polluting bus?
                                We don't have a labour day parade in my neck of the woods, we have a picnic and I'll probably go because there will be a lot of nice friendly people there.

                                I'm sure that Garioni will stay at home and stew in his bitterness, though.

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