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The good thing about round-robin tournaments is precisely that there is no 'skewing' of results. Everyone plays the same opponents. Unlike in Swisses where you can say so-and-so was lucky, he got to play weaker or out-of-form opponents, or that 'customer' he's beaten six times in a row. The only advantage might come from getting your toughest foes in the first few rounds (or the reverse, if you need a few games to get warmed up), but appropriate scheduling (don't know how they did it in the Candidates) should take care of that problem.
I guess a lot of people do not love Chucky anymore, including myself (I say that half joking, half serious). What a game, it was energy draining just to watch it live, but how about the players themselves? Ivanchuk woke up and delivered a perfect game, very much different than what he played before, like he came to London to play Magnus only. Even in their game in the first half he was better throughout! Chess is so unpredictable - head-to-head results, Monte-Carlo simulations, results in past tournaments, ranking points -all seem to be irrelevant in predicting the winner! But there are still two rounds, we shall see...
Originally posted by Laurentiu GrigorescuView Post
Ivanchuk woke up and delivered a perfect game, very much different than what he played before, like he came to London to play Magnus only.
It is well known fact that Ivanchuk is the most unpredictable player. He can make masterpieces and spoil games the next day, or vice-verse, and be over 2700 for many years (decades).
It is well known fact that Ivanchuk is the most unpredictable player. He can make masterpieces and spoil games the next day, or vice-verse, and be over 2700 for many years (decades).
A bit of psychology as well. First you comment since you no longer have a chance you are preparing for your next event. Then you drop kick the leader through the goal posts of life!
Ivanchuk is awful, losing every game on time and single-handedly making the tournament a lot closer than it should be.
When all is said and done, Chucky's -2 was the 2nd closest to an 'expected' result. Looking at the new April live ratings (http://www.2700chess.com/), only Grischuk had a more 'expected' result. To wit:
Amusingly, in terms of rating points, Carlsen had the 2nd worst result of the octet, only better than the disaster turned in by Radjabov. Fortunately, since Radjabov was the only invitee to the tournament, he turned in the same 0.5/2 against both Carlsen and Kramnik and didn't skew the results accordingly.
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