Can Biden win?

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  • Originally posted by Victor Plotkin View Post

    2.62 odds on Trump reflect 38.2%. Looks like, you calculated 1/3.62= 27.6%, which is not exactly right.

    Biden with odds 1.44 has 69.4%. Sure, bookmaker has advantage, because 38.2 + 69.4 = 107.6%. To get real numbers, we should divide by 1.076.

    Trump: 38.2 / 1.076 = 35.5%
    Biden: 69.4 / 1.076 = 64.5 %

    So, 35.5% - 64.5% is the real odds right now.

    The similar approach for Michigan gives Trump around 28% there.

    I am waiting for Trump with below 25% chances (odds of 4).
    Trump now has significantly more chances, around 44%. Looks like the company against Biden's son works pretty well.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Victor Plotkin View Post

      Trump now has significantly more chances, around 44%. Looks like the company against Biden's son works pretty well.

      The data being gleaned from Hunter Biden laptop isn't being used against Joe Biden's son. He's not worth the effort. On the other hand, Presidential Candidate Joe Biden is worth the effort.

      It does indeed look like the 'company' to expose yet another 'high' ranking Democratic crook is working pretty well. Barely There Biden 2% down last week (head-to-head) ... another 2% swing this week would put the race within the margin of error.


      Next debate - winner takes all.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Brian Profit View Post

        You mean this one, that called impeachment a Jew coup? If it is, it is disingenuous of you to to focus on the "predicting Trump wins" part of the story.

        https://news.yahoo.com/youtube-remov...213240124.html
        Brian, come on you are better than that. I never heard of your Florida pastor.

        Christians are not responsible for every crazy person claiming to be a Christian. The one I am talking about is the one that predicted in 2011 that Trump would be president.
        Last edited by Vlad Drkulec; Monday, 19th October, 2020, 07:11 PM.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

          Brian, come on you are better than that. I never heard of your Florida pastor.

          Christians are not responsible for every crazy person claiming to be a Christian. The one I am talking about is the one that predicted in 2011 that Trump would be president.
          Care to give a link to a reputable source for these videos being taken down because they supported Trump? And show it was because he supported Trump?
          In your original post, you wrote:

          Don't forget Youtube. They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

          You seem to be implying this was just happening in your first post. Now you say it happened in 2011.
          I would even take a FOX news link to this story. Seems like a big deal.
          Don't be a Trump on this one and throw out a lie hoping that no one will check you or that your supporters are too stupid to check for the truth. I will.

          If Pastors are using their churches to push politics, they should be ready to give up their tax free status in order to support the pussy-grabbing, porn star f-ing president. You know, the type of president a pastor should be supporting.
          Last edited by Brian Profit; Monday, 19th October, 2020, 08:58 PM.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Brian Profit View Post

            Care to give a link to a reputable source for these videos being taken down because they supported Trump? And show it was because he supported Trump?
            In your original post, you wrote:

            Don't forget Youtube. They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

            You seem to be implying this was just happening in your first post. Now you say it happened in 2011.
            I would even take a FOX news link to this story. Seems like a big deal.
            Don't be a Trump on this one and throw out a lie hoping that no one will check you or that your supporters are too stupid to check for the truth. I will.

            If Pastors are using their churches to push politics, they should be ready to give up their tax free status in order to support the pussy-grabbing, porn star f-ing president. You know, the type of president a pastor should be supporting.
            You mean as opposed to the pussy-grabbing manifestly corrupt,bribe-taking, blackmailing, plagiarizing, senile, serial liar, quid pro quo Joe vice-president that he is running against? Its okay for pastors that support Biden to continue to receive tax-free status as they steal millions.

            No. The original visions and prophecies came in 2011. There was just a movie released in October of 2020. There is a book that is the basis of the movie that probably came out in 2016 or so with an update in 2019.

            https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOc...ez9XUPQ/videos

            On your earlier post, no real Christian can be an enemy of Israel or of the Jews. Jesus Christ himself was a Jew. If someone says that he is a good Christian and then says things that are anti-Semitic, he is a liar.
            Last edited by Vlad Drkulec; Tuesday, 20th October, 2020, 01:02 AM.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

              Jesus Christ himself was a Jew..
              And he was a dark-skinned Jew, as per most historians...

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

                You mean as opposed to the pussy-grabbing manifestly corrupt,bribe-taking, blackmailing, plagiarizing, senile, serial liar, quid pro quo Joe vice-president that he is running against? Its okay for pastors that support Biden to continue to receive tax-free status as they steal millions.

                No. The original visions and prophecies came in 2011. There was just a movie released in October of 2020. There is a book that is the basis of the movie that probably came out in 2016 or so with an update in 2019.

                https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOc...ez9XUPQ/videos

                On your earlier post, no real Christian can be an enemy of Israel or of the Jews. Jesus Christ himself was a Jew. If someone says that he is a good Christian and then says things that are anti-Semitic, he is a liar.
                The fact that you cannot see who has lied repeatedly and demonstrably is astounding. Bribe taking? Where is FOX on this? Why is he not in jail? Where is the investigation? You posted this:

                Don't forget Youtube. They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

                and then this:

                The one I am talking about is the one that predicted in 2011 that Trump would be president.

                I asked you to provide a link and wrote:

                I would even take a FOX news link to this story. Seems like a big deal.

                You replied with:

                The original visions and prophecies came in 2011. There was just a movie released in October of 2020. There is a book that is the basis of the movie that probably came out in 2016 or so with an update in 2019.

                https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOc...ez9XUPQ/videos


                No actual article. The link only says this:

                This account has been terminated due to multiple or severe violations of YouTube's policy prohibiting content designed to harass, bully or threaten.

                Which seems to imply something more than taking down something because it was pro Trump. You wrote:

                They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

                It says something pretty clear about you or anyone who would watch videos on a YouTube channel, supposedly run by a pastor, that gets deleted. And you still have the link to the channel.

                I even wrote:

                Don't be a Trump on this one and throw out a lie hoping that no one will check you or that your supporters are too stupid to check for the truth. I will.

                But still you did not. You completely pulled a Trump. The man is indefensible on facts. He is a lying piece of garbage and I am embarrassed for you and your stances with him. Your disconnect is as bad as Pence's:

                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0X8hSUfVBpE

                You want to support the guy who has presided over 220000 deaths and not this guy?:

                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LpWKRFRizqg

                Like I said to Tom, I would rather you just say you don't care about other people and leave it at that. In that way you would not look foolish.

                On a positive note, I agree when you wrote:

                On your earlier post, no real Christian can be an enemy of Israel or of the Jews. Jesus Christ himself was a Jew. If someone says that he is a good Christian and then says things that are anti-Semitic, he is a liar.

                The problem again, for you, is that pastors and ministers lined up behind Trump and continue to do so and they brag about it. They stand around praying with him. And he bragged about having their endorsements. Some have left because they have decided they can't look at themselves in the mirror anymore. Hopefully all his supporters will come to that realization in time.
                Last edited by Brian Profit; Tuesday, 20th October, 2020, 03:28 PM.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Brian Profit View Post

                  The fact that you cannot see who has lied repeatedly and demonstrably is astounding. Bribe taking? Where is FOX on this? Why is he not in jail? Where is the investigation? You posted this:

                  Don't forget Youtube. They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

                  and then this:

                  The one I am talking about is the one that predicted in 2011 that Trump would be president.

                  I asked you to provide a link and wrote:

                  I would even take a FOX news link to this story. Seems like a big deal.

                  You replied with:

                  The original visions and prophecies came in 2011. There was just a movie released in October of 2020. There is a book that is the basis of the movie that probably came out in 2016 or so with an update in 2019.

                  https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOc...ez9XUPQ/videos


                  No actual article. The link only says this:

                  This account has been terminated due to multiple or severe violations of YouTube's policy prohibiting content designed to harass, bully or threaten.

                  Which seems to imply something more than taking down something because, which is not what you wrote:
                  That guy was so innocuous that the charge is ridiculous. I have read his book so I don't need to watch his youtube videos which were rehashes of his book. I suspect that the deplatforming came about because of the movie which came out October 2nd, 2020 which would bring more attention to this guy and his predictions.

                  They are now removing videos posted by Christian pastors with political commentary or who are predicting Trump wins.

                  It says something pretty clear about you or anyone who would watch videos on a YouTube channel, supposedly run by a pastor, that gets deleted. And you still have the link to the channel.
                  Actually as I said, I read the book. I didn't really watch many videos, I found that link on a duckduckgo search of Mark Taylor account deleted because there was more compelling material with more specific predictions by another so called prophet one Kim Clement. I get goosebumps when I watch his stuff because he has been right in his predictions and they were outrageous and out of left field when they were made. Who would have thought that Donald Trump would run in 2007 or 2014.


                  I even wrote:

                  Don't be a Trump on this one and throw out a lie hoping that no one will check you or that your supporters are too stupid to check for the truth. I will.

                  But still you did not. You completely pulled a Trump. The man is indefensible on facts. He is a lying piece of garbage and I am embarrassed for you and your stances with him. Your disconnect is as bad as Pence's:
                  You have Trump derangement syndrome. If Trump loses, the US is screwed. Canada is screwed because we will be next to an economic basket case and we depend on them. Israel is screwed because the Israel hating Obama people will be back in charge.

                  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0X8hSUfVBpE

                  You want to support the guy who has presided over 220000 death and not this guy?:

                  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LpWKRFRizqg
                  If Biden had been in charge it would have been 2.2 million deaths. Unlike you I think Trump saddled with the morons left over from the Obama admin did the best he could have in the circumstances. Most of the deaths came in blue states and were exacerbated by their predictably stupid actions like sending infected people into nursing homes which they did right from the beginning and red states did not do.

                  Like I said to Tom, I would rather you just say you don't care about other people and leave it at that. In that way you would not look foolish.
                  I want Trump to win because I care about people including my brother and his family who live in the U.S.


                  On a positive note, I agree when you wrote:

                  On your earlier post, no real Christian can be an enemy of Israel or of the Jews. Jesus Christ himself was a Jew. If someone says that he is a good Christian and then says things that are anti-Semitic, he is a liar.

                  The problem again, for you, is that pastors and ministers lined up behind Trump and continue to do so and they brag about it. They stand around praying with him. Some have left because they have decided they can't look at themselves in the mirror anymore. Hopefully all his supporters will come to that realization in time.
                  They won't. Trump is the anointed one.

                  Even 50 cent is endorsing Trump when he got a look at what he will be paying in taxes under Biden. I would have thought 50 cent would be worth a lot more than he is.
                  Last edited by Vlad Drkulec; Tuesday, 20th October, 2020, 02:58 PM.

                  Comment


                  • I've now seen two Trump fans on here claim that if it weren't for Trump, millions of people in the U.S. would be dead from COVID. They actually believe that they would have more deaths than the entire world combined if instead a Democrat were in charge. It's literally like a cult. The whole referring to Trump as "the anointed one" and talking about prophecies of him becoming president definitely doesn't help.

                    Also, rich people supporting Trump because they don't want to pay taxes probably isn't something a Christian should be supporting, especially when in the very same tweet he says that Trump "doesn't like black people." As for being next to an "economic basket case": you know that stock market that Trump and his fans love to brag about? It over doubled under Obama. Really weird how it only seems like it matters when it goes up under Trump...

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Dilip Panjwani View Post

                      And he was a dark-skinned Jew, as per most historians...
                      Now you're being silly. It doesn't matter what colour his skin was. Anyone who claims to know needs to show their work.

                      Comment


                      • Hunter Biden is the gift that keeps on giving. Now we have allegations about underage girls and by the way the FBI and Justice Department have refuted the new Russia narrative and confirmed the laptop belongs to Hunter Biden. Hunter's lawyer tried to get it back. There is a picture of the receipt signed by Hunter Biden. Also a picture of a letter from Hunter's lawyer. Also there is independent corroboration of some of the emails by the others on the email chain. A copy of the hard drive has been passed on to local police over the disturbing videos and texts found thereon. Sleepy Joe has some 'splaining to do.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post
                          Hunter Biden is the gift that keeps on giving. Now we have allegations about underage girls and by the way the FBI and Justice Department have refuted the new Russia narrative and confirmed the laptop belongs to Hunter Biden. Hunter's lawyer tried to get it back. There is a picture of the receipt signed by Hunter Biden. Also a picture of a letter from Hunter's lawyer. Also there is independent corroboration of some of the emails by the others on the email chain. A copy of the hard drive has been passed on to local police over the disturbing videos and texts found thereon. Sleepy Joe has some 'splaining to do.
                          Most of mainstream 'news' media are in hiding from reporting on the now verified Hunter Biden's laptop bombshell.

                          LOOL!

                          Barely There Biden has retreated back to his basement.

                          LOOL!

                          Leaving CNN's analyst Jeffrey Tuban to do what he knows best!!!

                          ZOOOOOOOOMMMMM!!!

                          HA!!!



                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Neil Frarey View Post

                            Most of mainstream 'news' media are in hiding from reporting on the now verified Hunter Biden's laptop bombshell.

                            LOOL!

                            Barely There Biden has retreated back to his basement.

                            LOOL!

                            Leaving CNN's analyst Jeffrey Tuban to do what he knows best!!!

                            ZOOOOOOOOMMMMM!!!

                            HA!!!
                            This is their level. I wonder if he is blaming Russia for turning on his camera.

                            I think in the case of Hunter Biden's laptop that the Biden campaign did not deny that it was his laptop and emails because the release of pictures and videos would be devastating and it would prove that it was his laptop. There is likely an FBI investigation slow walking until after the election when pardons can clean up the mess if they get the result they are hoping for. If there were no investigation, Hunter would have seen the return of the laptop.

                            My guess is that the leadership of the FBI would have used the contents of the laptop to blackmail Biden in the now less likely scenario that he becomes president. The spirit of J. Edgar Hoover is still present.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

                              ....

                              I want Trump to win because I care about people including my brother and his family who live in the U.S.

                              ....
                              Do you care about these children?

                              https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproje...ldren-n1244066

                              Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post
                              ....
                              Trump is the anointed one.
                              ....
                              ???
                              "We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office." - Aesop
                              "Only the dead have seen the end of war." - Plato
                              "If once a man indulges himself in murder, very soon he comes to think little of robbing; and from robbing he comes next to drinking and Sabbath-breaking, and from that to incivility and procrastination." - Thomas De Quincey

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Peter McKillop View Post

                                Do you care about these children?

                                https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproje...ldren-n1244066



                                ???
                                Well at least that article didn't show Obama's children in cages and blame it on Trump.

                                Comment

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