The One and Only Climate Change thread...

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  • #91
    Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

    Before climate gate I was in support of climate change being man made.

    http://www.chesstalk.info/forum/show...?t=2175&page=2

    Now I know that the 'science' is quite biased

    how about 500 peer reviewed scientific papers that are skeptical?

    http://www.populartechnology.net/200...upporting.html

    rising ocean levels?

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...ever-told.html


    of course this is what can happen when the average 'joe' gets their hands on the raw data

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_G_-...layer_embedded

    Of course how about that mann made hockey stick chart?

    http://climatechange.thinkaboutit.eu...eer-reviewed/#

    http://www.canada.com/national/natio...2-e95e19a8163e

    http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/Climate_L.pdf

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/0...-smoking-code/

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/2...he-real-story/

    Comment


    • #92
      Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

      The first link shows that you originally claimed to believe in climate change for irrational reasons, namely the weather around your place. Now you disbelieve for equally irrational reasons.

      Until you start basing your opinions on actual evidence (none of which you cite above) you will still be irrational.

      Comment


      • #93
        Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

        Jason, here's another one from today.

        http://www.guardian.co.uk/environmen...ws-peer-review

        The groundhogs say there will be 6 more week of winter. I wonder if they pressure each other via email. :)
        Gary Ruben
        CC - IA and SIM

        Comment


        • #94
          Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

          I found the part near the bottom of the transcript about Spain interesting.

          http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/dai...113.guest.html

          Maybe I should start a thread on the world monetary problems. Too discouraging, really.
          Gary Ruben
          CC - IA and SIM

          Comment


          • #95
            More News reports...

            The news reports keep coming. What is one to think?

            http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/...rticle1458206/
            Gary Ruben
            CC - IA and SIM

            Comment


            • #96
              Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

              From the article:

              "None of this is to say that global warming isn't real, or that human activity doesn't play a role, or that the IPCC is entirely wrong, or that measures to curb greenhouse-gas emissions aren't valid. But the strategy pursued by activists (including scientists who have crossed the line into advocacy) has turned out to be fatally flawed."

              The entire article seems to be suggesting that:

              1) Climate change is probably real and it is probably man-made.
              2) That the people who are pushing for climate change have a hidden, possibly nefarious agenda.

              Of course both could be true, as they are not mutually exclusive, are they?
              "Tom is a well known racist, and like most of them he won't admit it, possibly even to himself." - Ed Seedhouse, October 4, 2020.

              Comment


              • #97
                Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                Hi Tom:

                I agree with your analysis of the article - perceptive.

                Bob

                Comment


                • #98
                  Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                  If you aren't making any money from global warming you're wasting your time pushing either side. It's possible to make money betting on it and it's possible to make money betting against it.[/QUOTE]

                  Comment


                  • #99
                    Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                    If you aren't making any money from global warming you're wasting your time pushing either side. It's possible to make money betting on it and it's possible to make money betting against it.[/QUOTE][/QUOTE] - Gary Ruben.

                    You seem to indicate the only thing worth doing is that which makes you money! So how much are you making from your posting on ChessTalk?

                    Unfortunately, the vested money interests in Canada will shoot down any environmental remedies to polution and/or global climate detriment if it will cost them money. In past posts you have indicated that you will vote against anyone running for office who advocates remedies which will impact negetively on your personal investments. This is GREED vs the common good, is it not?
                    Last edited by Vlad Dobrich; Sunday, 7th February, 2010, 10:15 AM.

                    Comment


                    • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                      Originally posted by Vlad Dobrich View Post

                      Unfortunately, the vested money interests in Canada will shoot down any environmental remedies to polution and/or global climate detriment if it will cost them money. In past posts you have indicated that you will vote against anyone running for office who advocates remedies which will impact negetively on your personal investments. This is GREED vs the common good, is it not?
                      I think pretty much everyone has a vested money interest. Most people have an interest in keeping a regular income flow (e.g. job) as well as the ability to live how they want and buy what they want.

                      Even if man-made climate change turns out to be true, and even if somehow say half the world's population were to die from it, people would still want to live how they want and consume in the manner they want. No government or scientist is going to convince people to do otherwise. In that sense, climate change debating is just a big waste of time. If saving the planet involves serious inconvenience very few people are going to be onboard. ;-)
                      "Tom is a well known racist, and like most of them he won't admit it, possibly even to himself." - Ed Seedhouse, October 4, 2020.

                      Comment


                      • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                        Originally posted by Vlad Dobrich View Post

                        Unfortunately, the vested money interests in Canada will shoot down any environmental remedies to polution and/or global climate detriment if it will cost them money. In past posts you have indicated that you will vote against anyone running for office who advocates remedies which will impact negetively on your personal investments. This is GREED vs the common good, is it not?
                        For politicans the Blind Trust is supposed to deal with the problem of greed vs the common good.

                        For the individual, I think if a person doesn't vote for what what he/she believes then the person might not understand the situation.

                        Why would I vote for a politician who wants to spend a lot of money on global warming when I don't think it's a problem?

                        You have to ask yourself two questions here. 1. Is there global warming? 2. Is it a problem?

                        As you know it's a sunny day here today. Take a lawn chair down to the lake and get a sun tan. I know the temperature is -6 C but there is a warm 30 km breeze coming off the lake. Isn't global warming glorious. :)
                        Gary Ruben
                        CC - IA and SIM

                        Comment


                        • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                          Originally posted by Tom O'Donnell View Post
                          The entire article seems to be suggesting that:

                          1) Climate change is probably real and it is probably man-made.
                          2) That the people who are pushing for climate change have a hidden, possibly nefarious agenda.

                          Of course both could be true, as they are not mutually exclusive, are they?
                          I simply presented the article. What I draw from the articles is that before the government spend 100's of billions of dollars on global warming they should spend only 1 billion dollars to redo the reasearch to see how many of the findings can be duplicated.

                          Two questions are:
                          1. Is there global warming?
                          2. if there is, Is it a problem?

                          I would suspect at the rate the rain forests are being cut down there would be some changes on the planet. But that's a different crusade. :)
                          Gary Ruben
                          CC - IA and SIM

                          Comment


                          • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                            There is no question in my mind; climate change is rapidly occurring as CO2 concentrations rapidly rise. I am basing this on my reading and studying of meteorology and climate change at university, i.e. on the science.

                            Instead of reading newspaper articles and heresay and peoples opinions start reading some of the scientific papers; they are not too complicated, and form your own opinions from the research work. Ignore equations and great detail, just try to get the meat of the articles.

                            For example, just last week there was a new scientific peer reviewed paper on the state of Arctic ice melt, and how it was still increasing. When it goes it will have enormous implications for our climate. Do a bit of research yourself with google, it is really not that difficult.

                            One of the most noticeable things that climate change causes is weather extremes and changes in precipitation patterns. Things like lack of snowfall in Ottawa (95 cm this winter as opposed to a norm of 240 cm) versus huge snowfall events like 60 cm storms in Washington and Philadelphia, etc; i.e. 1 in 100 years events. Of course one year does not mean anything, but when bizarre weather happens year in and year out that shows a clearly discernible pattern.

                            Perhaps Gary can calculate the cost of this snow-pocalypse, as they are calling it.

                            Comment


                            • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                              Originally posted by Paul Beckwith View Post
                              There is no question in my mind; climate change is rapidly occurring as CO2 concentrations rapidly rise. I am basing this on my reading and studying of meteorology and climate change at university, i.e. on the science.

                              Instead of reading newspaper articles and heresay and peoples opinions start reading some of the scientific papers; they are not too complicated, and form your own opinions from the research work. Ignore equations and great detail, just try to get the meat of the articles.

                              For example, just last week there was a new scientific peer reviewed paper on the state of Arctic ice melt, and how it was still increasing. When it goes it will have enormous implications for our climate. Do a bit of research yourself with google, it is really not that difficult.

                              One of the most noticeable things that climate change causes is weather extremes and changes in precipitation patterns. Things like lack of snowfall in Ottawa (95 cm this winter as opposed to a norm of 240 cm) versus huge snowfall events like 60 cm storms in Washington and Philadelphia, etc; i.e. 1 in 100 years events. Of course one year does not mean anything, but when bizarre weather happens year in and year out that shows a clearly discernible pattern.

                              Perhaps Gary can calculate the cost of this snow-pocalypse, as they are calling it.
                              I think many studies have to be redone before they will be taken seriously. The articles I posted are not from a single source but for diifferent parts of the world.

                              The emails aren't very complicated either and possibly you should read them.

                              Perhaps Paul doesn't know the difference between climate and weather. What's happening this year is weather. What happened in the Dirty 30's with the droughts and dust bowls on the prairies was weather.

                              Before you start calculating all the megabucks that will be poured onto the collection plates of climate control have a look at the economies of the Eurozone. Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain are practically bankrupt. Germany and France have debt to GDP ratios of around 70%. Italy over 100%. Non Eurozone like Japan over 100%. The U.K. and the U.S. around 70%.

                              Now if they want to pour megabucks into climate control I say good for them. Canada is only running debt to GDP or around 35% but I don't look for our government to go it alone. It seems to me our government stated they would wait and see what the U.S. comes up with before making any decisions. That translates to they won't be sucked into pledging billions and having the Americans back out on the issue.

                              The way I read the newspaper articles they are suggesting the world leaders were duped at Copenhagen.
                              Gary Ruben
                              CC - IA and SIM

                              Comment


                              • Re: The One and Only Climate Change thread...

                                Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
                                Before you start calculating all the megabucks that will be poured onto the collection plates of climate control have a look at the economies of the Eurozone. Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain are practically bankrupt.
                                But only because they are victims of a badly run central bank controlling the Euro. If things continue as they are and they leave the Euro zone, which is fairly likely unless the power brokers in Europe come to their senses, they will then regain the power to use their currencies for their own people's benefit and the fiscal part of their crisis will pass fairly quickly. However if the Euro zone keeps the clamps on there is likely to be at least one violent revolution in Europe and that will cost far, far more than allowing a rational monetary policy would.

                                Germany and France have debt to GDP ratios of around 70%. Italy over 100%. Non Eurozone like Japan over 100%. The U.K. and the U.S. around 70%.
                                Anyone with a mortgage on their house these days has a much higher debt to income ratio, of course. And the USA ran far higher deficits after WWII and grew out of that debt in just a few years, while at the same time providing enough money for Europe for them to do the same.

                                All in all I am afraid Gary's ideas about macroeconomics are about as out of touch with reality as his ideas about global warming.

                                Notice that the G7 summit called for stimulus spending for at least another year. These guys are not so dumb, or at least the technocrats who advise them are not, and they'd rather like to get re-elected, so they will probably continue the stimulative spending as long as necessary. All the while they will be talking about the big cuts that are coming, mainly to make the big exchanges less panic prone.

                                Economically, our big problem right now is avoiding deflation, which is actually occurring in various parts of the world, and which economists of all stripes uniformly agree is far worse more damaging than moderate inflation could ever be.

                                The way I read the newspaper articles they are suggesting the world leaders were duped at Copenhagen.
                                But as long as you rely only on newspaper articles from folks you already agree with you are likely to be just as duped about economics as you are about global warming.

                                What's stopping you from looking at the actual Science as Paul has suggested you do?

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