I start this thread because previous one switched to usual, pretty interesting and important discussion between M.Egorov and CFC leaders.
40 players suppose to give enough data, statistical error should be very low.
1. Total points 176.5/ 360 or -7. Number itself very close to zero, which is normal for big swiss tournaments, lot of players finished between -1 and +1.
2. Girls -21, boys +14. The differential is significant and cannot be explained by poor performance of just 1 girl (0 points, -9). Looks like this differential reflects some problems of women chess in Canada (in general).
I hope M. Egorov will not start posting here about big improvement Dora Liu could give to Canadian team. Even with 9 out of 9 (which is very unlikely) boys outperform girls by significant margin.
3. Total FIDE-rating points earned/lost by whole Canadian team -15, which means all rated players underperformed by just 1 point. If we will take into account that some Canadian players had rating factor of 30 (and not 15) and calculate this group separately, total result will be -2.5 points.
So rated players lost 2.5 points against expected performance. Not a very big number, but this number still negative. Negative number undermines the idea of "deflational invironment" in Canada.
4. Young girls (U8, U10, U12) total -1, young boys +13. "Big" girls (U14, U16, U18) -20, "big" boys +1.
Girls and boys together U8 +7, U10 +2, U12 +3, U14 -4, U16 -7, U18 -8. Trend is absolutely clear. The younger the better.
5. Almost impossible to compare young section of WYCC-2011 with WYCC-2010 (Greece), because lots of players are unrated. However in older sections the average rating was much below (more than 50 points, which is a huge number) this year. So WYCC was much weaker this year.
Conclusion... You can hate it, but the truth is: Canadian performance this year at WYCC was mediocre. So words like "incredible performance" and "great result" written here are just empty.
40 players suppose to give enough data, statistical error should be very low.
1. Total points 176.5/ 360 or -7. Number itself very close to zero, which is normal for big swiss tournaments, lot of players finished between -1 and +1.
2. Girls -21, boys +14. The differential is significant and cannot be explained by poor performance of just 1 girl (0 points, -9). Looks like this differential reflects some problems of women chess in Canada (in general).
I hope M. Egorov will not start posting here about big improvement Dora Liu could give to Canadian team. Even with 9 out of 9 (which is very unlikely) boys outperform girls by significant margin.
3. Total FIDE-rating points earned/lost by whole Canadian team -15, which means all rated players underperformed by just 1 point. If we will take into account that some Canadian players had rating factor of 30 (and not 15) and calculate this group separately, total result will be -2.5 points.
So rated players lost 2.5 points against expected performance. Not a very big number, but this number still negative. Negative number undermines the idea of "deflational invironment" in Canada.
4. Young girls (U8, U10, U12) total -1, young boys +13. "Big" girls (U14, U16, U18) -20, "big" boys +1.
Girls and boys together U8 +7, U10 +2, U12 +3, U14 -4, U16 -7, U18 -8. Trend is absolutely clear. The younger the better.
5. Almost impossible to compare young section of WYCC-2011 with WYCC-2010 (Greece), because lots of players are unrated. However in older sections the average rating was much below (more than 50 points, which is a huge number) this year. So WYCC was much weaker this year.
Conclusion... You can hate it, but the truth is: Canadian performance this year at WYCC was mediocre. So words like "incredible performance" and "great result" written here are just empty.
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