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The neighbourhood I live in has lots of houses. The houses have pretty big yards. The yards are covered in grass. As far as I can tell our yard is the only one with a vegetable garden on it. One of our neighbours works two blocks away from where I have a part-time job. I walk to work. It's about 20 minutes each way. He drives a massive pickup truck.
Personal responsibility seems to be in short supply. Getting others (rich people, oil companies, etc.) to do something is a lot easier than doing it ourselves.
Personal responsibility seems to be in short supply. Getting others (rich people, oil companies, etc.) to do something is a lot easier than doing it ourselves.
The examples are useful. Urban gardening has become a big thing in certain countries, often out of necessity, and it's good to see people move towards more sensible resource usage. However, the role that individuals can play in reducing greenhouse gases generally pales in comparison to the role that will be essential by government and industry. And it is the latter that's lacking.
It seems as if the oil and gas industry, for example, in most countries, is in a feverish race to extract the most amount of oil and gas in the shortest time. It may be good for their bottom line, but it is definitely not good for slowing global warming and forestalling a catastrophe. There are some exceptions - the governments of some countries (I'm thinking Ecuador, and maybe 1 or 2 of the Scandanavian countries) have, where the state sector is large and influential, voluntarily decided to reduce the extraction rate or simply choose not to "develop" certain projects. But this is a global phenomena and requires, ultimately, global cooperation.
It is complicated by the fact that some countries have already developed their infrastructure and industry while others, notably China, India, and many developing countries, have yet to complete their development. And they want what North America already has. It is the height of hypocrisy for richer countries to be lecturing poorer countries about sustainable development while failing to do so themselves. We simply do not have the global institutions, nor it seems the political will, to slow that big, fat wheel down.
We need to go from Anthropocene to Sustainocene, and quickly.
Dogs will bark, but the caravan of chess moves on.
Supplemental: 5 key takeaways from the most recent United Nations IPCC (United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) released today:
1. The food supply is in trouble.
That doesn't make any sense. If the air is full of more carbon dioxide and the temperature is increasing then yields should go up as any first year biology student could tell you.
2. The poor will be hit hardest, but the rich will feel it too.
If the poor really believe that then perhaps they could persuade their leaders to quite polluting so much and building so many coal plants. The AGW scam is a scam and not even intended to do anything other than transfer wealth from Canada and the U.S. to the bureaucrats. The big problem is that the U.S. is basically bankrupt and the Harper Conservatives have no intention of sending money to Moscow to help them take over more countries.
3. The world will become less stable (conflicts over resources intensify with reduced food and increased "natural" disasters).
4. Wealthy countries are minimizing their responsibility. The example is given from the World Bank, noting that poorer countries would need $100 Billion/year to offset the effects of climate change; rich countries, like Canada and the US "tried to have that figure stricken from the 48-page executive summary that most readers and the press would peruse before turning to the full report." I find sticking your fingers in your ears and going "la la la la" works just as well.
5. The next big chance to do something is later this year.
The sky is falling! The sky is falling! LOL! Seventeen years and five months of no warming and that is no April Fool's joke. Though perhaps discussing AGW on April Fools is quite appropriate.
An author of the forthcoming Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report on climate change has asked for his name to be removed from a summary document because of its "four horsemen of the apocalypse" rhetoric.
Professor Richard Tol, an economist at the University of Sussex who was the convening lead author of the chapter on economics, asked for his name to be removed from a summary document provided to policy makers.
He said: "The message in the first draft was that through adaptation and clever development these were manageable risks, but it did require we get our act together. This has completely disappeared from the draft now, which is all about the impacts of climate change and the four horsemen of the apocalypse. This is a missed opportunity."
"You have a very silly statement in the draft summary that says that people who live in war-torn countries are more vulnerable to climate change, which is undoubtedly true, but if you ask people in Syria whether they are more concerned with chemical weapons or climate change, I think they would pick chemical weapons - that is just silliness."
The report, due to be issued in the coming months, is set to push a bleak outlook, with leaked information speaking of significant effects on food supplies, security and economies.
The United Nations' IPCC is meeting in the Japanese city of Yokohama to agree on the report. The draft summary was been leaked yesterday, and has raised eyebrows from even the most climate-change friendly scientists.
We use photovoltaic panels for our electricity fix. The longest of the 17 winters we've been here is just ending now. This winter we burned 140 litres of gas generating electricity during the dark days of winter. The sun is higher and longer in the sky. Unlimited power for our needs this year began in the middle of March.
We have 416 watts of panel mounted on a 7 metre pole and manually track the sun across the sky. They charge eight deep cycle batteries and run through a 3000 watt inverter. We run a shop and a small house. Out of 4 electric machines in the shop 3 are less than 1/2 hp and one is 1 hp. We work with the machines when the sun is out. Doesn't have to be shining. As long as we're not socked in for a week there is no need to start the generator for the hour we need to boost our electricity supply. By working with the sun when it's up, the surplus energy during the day is stored in the batteries for our use at night. Some adjustment has been made. We have a freezer, panty and small root cellar creating a situation where we have no need at all for a fridge. We turn off our low wattage lights when not in use etc... regular energy reducing practices.
At today's prices our system would cost $4000.
For food we grow all our own vegetables and that includes producing most of our own seed, buy most of our fruit, trade and buy meat from neighbours.
We use, re use, refurbish and recycle everything. Very little goes to the land fill. Plastic mostly.
Plastic is a big problem in my opinion.
I realize that we live so far out there that it seems almost fantasy. That's the problem.
Supposedly we are poor, unhealthy and limited in our prospects according to the rhetoric of growth (part of that culture of fear of thinking and being responsible for yourself) With today's technology, in fact, we don't have a lot of cash but we are healthy, free and in hind sight it was easy. We just had to shake off the sense of entitlement. That was difficult ...
No offence but if your concerned about your environment put your money where your mouth is.
Most of what I see and hear from people about "climate change", sustainability, equality is a lot of stinking hot air.
Friedrich Nietzsche, "We Scholars" from Beyond Good and Evil (1886) ... lest we talk like blind men of color
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: the costs of renewable energy, like wind and solar power, are falling so fast that its deployment on a large scale is becoming practical:
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: the costs of renewable energy, like wind and solar power, are falling so fast that its deployment on a large scale is becoming practical:
Excellent. They will be able to produce twice as much power at ridiculously high FIT prices that we will have to pay the Americans to take off our hands. Producing power is not the requirement. Producing power when it is required is the real test for solar and wind source power until they are able find a way to store it. There was a story about a Windsor scheme to store power using compressed air. They claimed only 35% loss and I am quite skeptical.
Thanks for reviving this, I was getting ready to pluck my eyes out by the roots trying to read that Kirsan/war crimes/boycott thread, or whatever it was about.
Consciousness about climate change is a must but let us not blame humans solely for everything that goes awry in this planet. Let's act responsibly in the way we conserve our resources in this planet of ours. Polar reversal will happen, continents will converge and we are enroute to a complete reboot whether we like it or not at some point in the future but we do not know exactly when. To think that we can alter this irreversible path is complete folly.
Last edited by Nathan Zeap; Tuesday, 27th May, 2014, 03:13 PM.
Environmental APD Report, Issue # 14-9, July 1, 2014l
I edit/publish a free environmental E-Newsletter. Below is the most recent Issue. If you would like to subscribe, just message me with your e-mail, or e-mail me at: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com.
Conservative Federal Government Approves Enbridge Northern Gateway Pipeline (Alberta to British Columbia): Canadian New Democratic Party Leader, Tom Mulcair, leader of the opposition in Parliament, says the approval of the pipeline today (June 17, 2014) "fails" the environment, the economy, and Canadian First Nations. MY COMMENT: opponents of this decision must scower heaven and earth to find strategic tactics that will allow for a reversal of the decision. Note that as far as I am aware, the federal Liberal Party of Canada, the third party, and the Green Party of Canada (one member - Leader) also oppose this decision. It seems like opponents will have to work together to avoid this catastrophe. FB Post by Bob Armstrong
Recent Positive Event
Supreme Court of Canada Decision – Recognizing extensive aboriginal land claim in British Columbia - What today's ruling will mean for future pipelines is unclear, but one expert said it's likely this decision will be used by First Nations fighting the Enbridge pipeline in court.
"The pipeline is going through many, many First Nations who have already declared that they do not want the Enbridge pipeline going through their territories, and this decision strengthens their rights to preserve their traditional territories," said Antonia Mills, a First Nations studies professor at the University of Northern B.C.
Ongoing Struggle
Aboriginal Role - Canada is very fortunate to have within its boundaries, aboriginal nations, who have a long history of connection to nature, and knowledge of what it can and cannot absorb of human activity. They have become key players in environmental protection, and have cooperated with a broad range of Canadian organizations concerned about environmental protection. The struggle will not cease.
# 5/14 – 09/10/06
Methane & Global Warming: By Canadian Climate Change Expert, Paul Beckwith, on the Canadian national chess discussion board of the Chess’n Math Association, Chesstalk:
“I quote from a link that has a good description of all the major greenhouse gases (although Vlad [Drkulec] might disagree about CO2 and methane): "Methane is an extremely effective absorber of radiation, though its atmospheric concentration is less than CO2 and its lifetime in the atmosphere is brief (10-12 years), compared to some other greenhouse gases (such as CO2, N2O, CFCs). Methane (CH4) has both natural and anthropogenic sources. It is released as part of the biological processes in low oxygen environments, such as in swamplands or in rice production (at the roots of the plants). Over the last 50 years, human activities such as growing rice, raising cattle, using natural gas and mining coal have added to the atmospheric concentration of methane. Direct atmospheric measurement of atmospheric methane has been possible since the late 1970s and its concentration rose from 1.52 ppmv in 1978 by around 1%/year to 1990, since when there has been little sustained increase. The current atmospheric concentration is ~1.77 ppmv, and there is no scientific consensus on why methane has not risen much since around 1990." http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/gases.html
A human tendency is to try to linearize everything, i.e. if something is increasing at a certain rate like global temperature we tend to assume that it will continue at roughly the same rate. However, the climate system is highly nonlinear. What is most worrying is that we could cross some threshold and find out that in a very short time our world has changed. Malcolm Gladwell's book "The tipping point" covers this type of feedback effect well. The probability of these events occurring is low, but the implications to our way of life if they happen are high so the risk (product of probability and implication) could be substantial. Some of these events include:
1) Ocean warming melting frozen clathrates on ocean floor leading to enormous emissions of methane.
2) Methane stored in northern hemisphere tundra/permafrost released due to thawing, mostly in Canadian north and Siberia.
3) Rain forest collapse in South America due mostly to lack of rainfall releasing stored carbon that would dwarf any human emissions.
4) Shutting down of Atlantic ocean thermo-haline circulation (THC) resulting in regional cooling of Western Europe (by 5 degrees C or so within a year to decade of circulation collapse) and regional cooling of eastern North America by 3 degrees C or so.
5) Sufficient warming of the oceans to initiate stratification such that phytoplankton can no longer produce in the warm upper layers (read paleobiologist Peter Ward's book "Under a Green Sky" if you want more details) “
He states as well:
“ … I can assure you that if the Arctic ice is all gone by say 2015 in the summer the battle will be over since this would be the first time in a million years or so that there was no ice up there, and since all the heat absorbed in polar oceans (much higher due to reduced albedo) would be used to heat seawater as opposed to melting ice so warming would significantly accelerate. Google NSIDC (National Snow and Ice Data Center) and look at some of their plots on ice coverage….
As a greenhouse gas, methane is a large concern since there is lots of it trapped in the frozen tundra/permafrost and in the clathrates on the ocean floor. Anywhere there is biological decomposition in the absence of oxygen (anaerobic decomposition) methane (CH4) is produced. Anywhere there is biological decomposition in the presence of oxygen (aerobic decomposition) CO2 is produced. Its effect on warming is about 21x that of CO2 on a molecule by molecule basis. “
EAPDR Readers’ Lead Article
Besides your intrepid editor writing lead articles from time to time, EAPDR extends an ongoing invitation to freelancers to submit topical chess articles for our lead article. Send on your article and we’ll review it with you, with a view to using it (we may suggest some editing, but generally very minor). You will get full credit in the publication. We will also post a bit of personal information on the freelancer, if they are agreeable.
_____________________________________________________________________
How to READ EAPDR: The links provide an extensive amount of material. They cannot be meaningfully read all at once. We suggest archiving your Environmental APD Reports, and when you have time and interest, go pick one link to peruse. Then leave it for a while. It may be that some can deal with a few links at a time, but we feel trying to do them all at one sitting is counter-productive. Also, when archived, you have research at your fingertips, should you need it in future.
Readers’ Feedback – We welcome your comments on what you read, see, etc., whether laudatory, questioning or constructive criticism. Or if you have something you’d like published, send it to us and we’ll discuss it to you – from links, public articles, etc., to you writing your own article to be published here. Contact: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
THIS NEWSLETTER IS FREE – EAPDR is targeted to come out on the 1st (and sometimes the 15th) of each month. As we’ve said, should you think this newsletter might be of interest to any of your family or friends, I’d be pleased to have them subscribe – as I said, it is free. Just “forward” the cover e-mail and this newsletter attachment to them, and they can decide then whether to respond to me or not: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
Newsletter Goals: There are passionate advocates, and passionate so-called deniers both with respect to ACC & APD. This newsletter is just trying to do its small bit on sharing info & raising “awareness”. We hope to generate thereby, a more intelligent debate on these issues. Though we are among those concerned about the planetary changes occurring, which we see as negative, we do seek to present information on both sides of the debate (though our balance will be in favour of those concerned).
Editor: Bob Armstrong:
Published by: Environmental Anthropogenic Planetary Destruction Clearing House;
Coordinator: Bob Armstrong
This is an argument we have all heard, trotted out by the anthropogenic climate change deniers. To some extent, true.
But what they are unwilling to acknowledge is that Nature has upped the ante. The natural catastrophes are now way more extreme, way more often, and in places never seen before!
Why? Because we humans are bent on destroying the planet, ourselves, and all other species with us! Our actions are changing the climate….the scientific proof around the world is conclusive. The United Nations, representing all countries in the world, has issued statements and reports warning of the tragedy that is going to befall the planet, if we do not stop generating more climate change, including global warming.
Will humans act??
Unclear….as is often said: “it depends whose ox is being gored”. We humans often prove slow on the uptake. If we have a vested interest in the status quo, then warnings that change is needed, go unheeded until disaster strikes those benefitting from the status quo. Then, in Johnny-Come-Lately fashion, they jump on the bandwagon the 99% have been bleating about for years. This will be unfortunate if it unfolds this way. Many will die and be traumatized before a united front for change is mobilized …. If already then not too late.
We have to do better to educate the elite, and to find the way to show them that it is in their self-interest to get on board…that the very assets they are amassing and protecting are now, finally at risk if they remain inactive. This may cause movement. Let’s hope!
# 52/14 – 14/7/28
Rising sea levels will pose a serious threat to human civilization by inundating not only large expanses of arable land, but also some of the world’s largest cities: https://www.facebook.com/ClimateChan...type=1&theater
Besides your intrepid editor writing lead articles from time to time, EAPDR extends an ongoing invitation to freelancers to submit topical chess articles for our lead article. Send on your article and we’ll review it with you, with a view to using it (we may suggest some editing, but generally very minor). You will get full credit in the publication. We will also post a bit of personal information on the freelancer, if they are agreeable.
________________________________________________________________________ How to READ EAPDR: The links provide an extensive amount of material. They cannot be meaningfully read all at once. We suggest archiving your Environmental APD Reports, and when you have time and interest, go pick one link to peruse. Then leave it for a while. It may be that some can deal with a few links at a time, but we feel trying to do them all at one sitting is counter-productive. Also, when archived, you have research at your fingertips, should you need it in future.
Readers’ Feedback – We welcome your comments on what you read, see, etc., whether laudatory, questioning or constructive criticism. Or if you have something you’d like published, send it to us and we’ll discuss it to you – from links, public articles, etc., to you writing your own article to be published here. Contact: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
THIS NEWSLETTER IS FREE – EAPDR is targeted to come out on the 1st (and sometimes the 15th) of each month. As we’ve said, should you think this newsletter might be of interest to any of your family or friends, I’d be pleased to have them subscribe – as I said, it is free. Just “forward” the cover e-mail and this newsletter attachment to them, and they can decide then whether to respond to me or not: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
Newsletter Goals: There are passionate advocates, and passionate so-called deniers both with respect to ACC & APD. This newsletter is just trying to do its small bit on sharing info & raising “awareness”. We hope to generate thereby, a more intelligent debate on these issues. Though we are among those concerned about the planetary changes occurring, which we see as negative, we do seek to present information on both sides of the debate (though our balance will be in favour of those concerned).
Editor: Bob Armstrong:
The Aboriginal first nations' historical ties to nature, in all countries, give them a big advantage over us immigrants, with respect to dealing with Planetary Destruction, including Climate Change. We ignore their wisdom at our peril.
Published by: Environmental Anthropogenic Planetary Destruction Clearing House;
Coordinator: Bob Armstrong
I don't see the Vatican on your list of environmental floods and droughts ... neither Jerusalem or Mecca.
Proof that with Strong Faith we can beat the GW!
Last edited by Emil Smilovici; Monday, 28th July, 2014, 10:57 AM.
Anthropogenic Planetary Destruction – A Layman’s View
1. Humans are causing climate change (ACC – Anthropogenic Climate Change), or at least are substantially part of its cause.
2. What? – We are turning Earth into a “Greenhouse”. A greenhouse is a structure used by nurseries to start growing plants in inclement weather. The main feature of the greenhouse, is that it holds the heat, and keeps the plants warm when they need it.
3. How? – The main cause of climate change is our changing of the Earth’s upper atmosphere. In the past, the Earth and its life gave off heat, and some heat from the sun was absorbed, and some reflected back off Earth’s surface. This heat rose and penetrated through the upper atmosphere to be dissipated in space. What humans are doing is releasing gases into the atmosphere which do not go through the upper atmosphere. They form a gaseous layer just below the upper atmosphere, forming a layer surrounding the Earth. These gases prevent rising heat from the planet from escaping. So this layer and the air below it, is slowly warming as it entraps the heat. These gases are popularly called “greenhouse gases”, since they, like the greenhouse, are keeping the inside warm. It may be OK for greenhouses, but it is not OK for the whole planet! This slowly rising temperature in the layer and just below is referred to as Global Warming. And of course, the heat is transferred slowly back down the air toward the earth. This is the key element of the change we are making to Earth’s total climate. Some of these suicidal gases are carbon dioxide and methane, among others.
4. Due to global warming, other Earth climate consequences are generated.
5. It should be noted that “weather” is different from “climate change”. So, for example, the fact that world-wide, August 2014 was the hottest month on record (not here in Canada though), cannot be used as “evidence” that global warming is occurring. Weather is changeable and long periods of time are required before weather measurement might be used in evidence. Also, the fact that Canada had one of its severest winters in many years in 2013-4 (cold, snow, ice), is no evidence against the existence of global warming. Again, the time frame is much to short.
6. One of the consequences of the global warming element of climate change, does, however, involve “weather”. The additional climate change occurring is “weather extremes”. The world has seen before, flooding, drought, snow and ice storms, icing up of water bodies, etc. What the world has not seen before is the change to extremes of weather. The extent and degree of these dislocating weather events goes well beyond that of prior years – the flooding is much greater and longer for example; and the droughts. And they are now occurring in time periods where they usually did not occur before. And they are taking place in locations on the globe that in the past had not experienced them, or very little and infrequently.
7. We MUST ratchet down as soon as possible (without creating total chaos, and turning the general population against the cause) the human activities whose polluting by-products are greenhouse gases.
Though editor of this newsletter, and though I have read many articles, I am no expert. I feel I still understand this complex issue as a layman, with some info. So I would be pleased to receive any corrective comments to the above. As well, of course, if you’d like to throw in your 2 cents, then write us with any additional comments, and we’ll publish them, and start a conversation!
Resource Articles
Climate change is causing “weather extremes” – weather that is much more severe than previously, more often, and in places not usually found.
# 53/14 – 14/8/5 Australia
Adelaide has shivered through its coldest August morning (Aug. 4) in 126 years, with the mercury dipping to just 0.9 °C. Temperatures dropped below freezing in some parts of the state: https://www.facebook.com/9News/photo...type=1&theater
# 7/14 Great Lakes (Canada/USA)
# 7C/14
Great Lakes become nearly covered with ice – could break 35 year record:
14/3/6 - The Great Lakes are 91% frozen over - the most since 1979 – could break the record the week of Feb. 2: http://www.policymic.com/articles/84...cord-this-week
14/2/17 -http://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2014/02/17/great_lakes_nearly_freeze_over_completely.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter#
14/2/13 - http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/.../?click=tglobe
Besides your intrepid editor writing lead articles from time to time, EAPDR extends an ongoing invitation to freelancers to submit topical chess articles for our lead article. Send on your article and we’ll review it with you, with a view to using it (we may suggest some editing, but generally very minor). You will get full credit in the publication. We will also post a bit of personal information on the freelancer, if they are agreeable.
________________________________________________________________________
How to READ EAPDR: The links provide an extensive amount of material. They cannot be meaningfully read all at once. We suggest archiving your Environmental APD Reports, and when you have time and interest, go pick one link to peruse. Then leave it for a while. It may be that some can deal with a few links at a time, but we feel trying to do them all at one sitting is counter-productive. Also, when archived, you have research at your fingertips, should you need it in future.
Readers’ Feedback – We welcome your comments on what you read, see, etc., whether laudatory, questioning or constructive criticism. Or if you have something you’d like published, send it to us and we’ll discuss it to you – from links, public articles, etc., to you writing your own article to be published here. Contact: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
THIS NEWSLETTER IS FREE – EAPDR is targeted to come out on the 1st (and sometimes the 15th) of each month. As we’ve said, should you think this newsletter might be of interest to any of your family or friends, I’d be pleased to have them subscribe – as I said, it is free. Just “forward” the cover e-mail and this newsletter attachment to them, and they can decide then whether to respond to me or not: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
Newsletter Goals: There are passionate advocates, and passionate so-called deniers both with respect to ACC & APD. This newsletter is just trying to do its small bit on sharing info & raising “awareness”. We hope to generate thereby, a more intelligent debate on these issues. Though we are among those concerned about the planetary changes occurring, which we see as negative, we do seek to present information on both sides of the debate (though our balance will be in favour of those concerned).
NOTE re FUNDING: As a private company, we rely solely on donations of time and $ (we do not accept anonymous donations of money; we do allow a volunteer to remain anonymous if they so wish). We are not a charitable organization. We do not apply for, or accept:
i) Funds, grants, subsidies, advertising, etc. from any government;
ii) Funds, grants, subsidies, advertising, sponsorship, etc. from any corporations;
iii) Funds, grants, subsidies, advertising, sponsorship, etc. from any individuals we determine are somehow involved in Anthropogenic Climate Change, or Anthropogenic Planetary Destruction.
Editor: Bob Armstrong:
The Aboriginal first nations' historical ties to nature, in all countries, give them a big advantage over us immigrants, with respect to dealing with Planetary Destruction, including Climate Change. We ignore their wisdom at our peril.
Published by: Canadian Life Consulting;
Coordinator: Bob Armstrong
By Paul Beckwith - Climatology/meteorology research & part-time professor at University of Ottawa
Air
The presence of GHGs (greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere are vital to sustain life on our planet. These GHGs trap heat and keep the global average surface temperature of the planet at about 15 degrees C, versus a chilly -18 degrees C which would be our temperature without the GHGs.
We have changed the chemistry of the atmosphere, specifically of the concentrations of the GHGs. Concentrations of carbon dioxide have increased about 40% since the start of the industrial revolution (from a tight range between 180 to 280 ppm over at least the last million years) to 400 ppm. Concentrations of methane have increased by more than 2.5x since the start of the industrial revolution (from a tight range of 350 to 700 ppb) to over 1800 ppm. The additional heat trapped has warmed our planet by over 0.8 degrees C over the last century, with most of that rise (0.6 degrees C) occurring in the last 3 or 4 decades.
Oceans
Over 90% of the heat trapped on the surface of the planet is increasing the temperature of the ocean water. The increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere acidify the rainfall, and have increased the acidity of the oceans by about 40% in the last 3 to 4 decades (pH of the open ocean has dropped from 8.2 down to 8.05 on the logarithmic scale). An increased drop to a pH of 7.8 will prevent calcium based shells from forming, and threaten the entire food chain of the ocean. Changes in ocean currents, and vertical temperature profiles are leading to more stratification and less overturning which is required to transport nutrients to the surface for phytoplankton to thrive.
Global sea levels are presently rising at a rate of 3.4 mm per year, compared to a rate of about 2 mm per year a few decades ago. Melt rates on Greenland have doubled in the last 4 to 5 years, and melt rates on the Antarctica Peninsula have increased even faster. Based on the last several decades, melt rates have had a doubling period of around 7 years or so. If this trend continues, we can expect a sea level rise approaching 7 meters by 2070.
Land
Higher global average temperatures have increased the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere by about 4% over the last several decades, and around 6% since the start of the industrial revolution. Changes in heat distribution with latitude from uneven heating with latitude has slowed the jet streams and caused them to become wavier and fractured, and has changed the statistics of weather. We now have higher frequencies, intensities, and longer duration extreme weather events and also a change in location of where these events occur.
Feedback Loops
The sensitivity of the climate system to increased levels of GHG appears to be much higher than previously expected due to many powerful reinforcing feedbacks.
Arctic temperature amplification from exponentially declining sea ice and spring snow cover are the strongest feedbacks in our climate system today. The average albedo (reflectivity) of the Arctic region has decreased from 52% to a present day value of 48% over 3 or 4 decades. The increased absorption of energy in the Arctic has increased the temperature at high latitudes at rates up to 6 to 8x the global average temperature change. The reduced temperature difference between the Arctic and equator has reduced the west to east speed of the jet streams causing them to slow and become wavier and more fractured, and directly causing a large change in the statistics of our global weather.
Methane gas emissions have been rapidly rising in the Arctic region from the terrestrial permafrost and the continental shelf marine sediments, most notably on the ESAS (Eastern Siberia Arctic Shelf). The extremely potent ability of methane to warm the planet (global warming potential GWP is >150, 86, and 34 times for methane relative to carbon dioxide on a few year, several decade, and century timescale, respectively) makes increased emissions an extremely dangerous risk to our well-being on the planet.
My Overall Assessment
Our climate system is presently undergoing preliminary stages of abrupt climate change. If allowed to continue, the planet climate system is quite capable of undergoing an average global temperature increase of 5 to 6 degrees C over a decade or two. Precedence for changes at such a large rate can be found at numerous times in the paleo-records. From my chair, I conclude that it is vital that we slash greenhouse gas emissions and undergo a crash program of climate engineering to cool the Arctic region and keep the methane in place in the permafrost and ocean sediments.
Resource Articles
These deal generally with overall climate change and analysis of it.
Earth Will Cross the Climate Danger Threshold by 2036: The rate of global temperature rise may have hit a plateau, but a climate crisis still looms in the near future: http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...shold-by-2036/
Besides your intrepid editor writing lead articles from time to time, EAPDR extends an ongoing invitation to freelancers to submit topical chess articles for our lead article. Send on your article and we’ll review it with you, with a view to using it (we may suggest some editing, but generally very minor). You will get full credit in the publication. We will also post a bit of personal information on the freelancer, if they are agreeable.
How to READ EAPDR: The links provide an extensive amount of material. They cannot be meaningfully read all at once. We suggest archiving your Environmental APD Reports, and when you have time and interest, go pick one link to peruse. Then leave it for a while. It may be that some can deal with a few links at a time, but we feel trying to do them all at one sitting is counter-productive. Also, when archived, you have research at your fingertips, should you need it in future.
Readers’ Feedback – We welcome your comments on what you read, see, etc., whether laudatory, questioning or constructive criticism. Or if you have something you’d like published, send it to us and we’ll discuss it to you – from links, public articles, etc., to you writing your own article to be published here. Contact: anthropogenicplanetarydestruct@gmail.com .
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Newsletter Goals: There are passionate advocates, and passionate so-called deniers both with respect to ACC & APD. This newsletter is just trying to do its small bit on sharing info & raising “awareness”. We hope to generate thereby, a more intelligent debate on these issues. Though we are among those concerned about the planetary changes occurring, which we see as negative, we do seek to present information on both sides of the debate (though our balance will be in favour of those concerned).
NOTE re FUNDING: As a private company, we rely solely on donations of time and $ (we do not accept anonymous donations of money; we do allow a volunteer to remain anonymous if they so wish). We are not a charitable organization. We do not apply for, or accept:
i) Funds, grants, subsidies, advertising, etc. from any government;
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Editor: Bob Armstrong:
The Aboriginal first nations' historical ties to nature, in all countries, give them a big advantage over us immigrants, with respect to dealing with Planetary Destruction, including Climate Change. We ignore their wisdom at our peril.
Published by: Canadian Life Consulting;
Coordinator: Bob Armstrong
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