What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

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  • What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

    In an attempt to see how many chesstalk readers, if pressed, would agree with Gary Ruben that the French is a poor choice, this poll asks what 1.e4 defence is objectively best, in each respondent's opinion, for a lower rated player to upset a 2500+ player.
    43
    French Defence with Winawer vs. 3.Nc3
    20.93%
    9
    French Defence excluding Winawer vs. 3.Nc3
    2.33%
    1
    Sicilian with Najdorf vs. Open Sicilian
    16.28%
    7
    Sicilian with Sveshnikov vs. Open Sicilian
    2.33%
    1
    Sicilian with Dragon vs. Open Sicilian
    2.33%
    1
    Sicilian excluding Najdorf, Sveshnikov, or Dragon vs. Open Sicilian
    9.30%
    4
    Double King Pawn, hoping for Marshall Attack vs. Ruy Lopez
    0.00%
    0
    Double King Pawn excluding hoping for Marshall Attack vs. Ruy Lopez
    2.33%
    1
    Caro-Kann
    18.60%
    8
    Other
    25.58%
    11
    Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
    Murphy's law, by Edward A. Murphy Jr., USAF, Aerospace Engineer

  • #2
    Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

    Only Hugh Brodie with his colossus database can give you a definite answer. I will be surprised to see a recent game where a 2500+ player who plays 1.e4 gets a "slightly" weaker position in the opening. They know it upside down and you will be lucky to get an even position for Black, no matter what opening you choose.
    A computer beat me in chess, but it was no match when it came to kickboxing

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    • #3
      Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

      I voted for the Najdorf even though the Winawer is close to my heart. The Winawer was good for upsetting some of the world's (former) best players (e.g. Kasparov, and the late Fischer), but it is often difficult to handle since it is normally positionally sharp. The Najdorf is more tactical, and gives White more fatal traps to fall into. The Najdorf has the highest Black win percentage score at top levels in my largest database.
      Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
      Murphy's law, by Edward A. Murphy Jr., USAF, Aerospace Engineer

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

        its not so much the opening its how well you know it, if you study DVDs, Yearbooks, Informant games and are steeped in an opening, are prepared for its tactics and strategy and especially if you are prepared for the transition to the endgame and to play the endgame well then you might upset a much higher rated player

        so a complicated opening that should have chances for black is best, except the Sicillian takes a lot of time to study the theory, the French is more manageable in terms of time required & resulting chances of upsets
        Last edited by Zeljko Kitich; Thursday, 29th July, 2010, 09:00 AM.

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        • #5
          Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

          Originally posted by Kevin Pacey View Post
          The Najdorf has the highest Black win percentage score at top levels in my largest database.
          In how many Najdorf games Black had better position in the opening? Point is, opening will not beat the GM, even if you get slightly better position in the opening, but strategy, tactics and knowledge of the endgame after the opening.
          A computer beat me in chess, but it was no match when it came to kickboxing

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

            Caro-Kann, obviously...

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

              Originally posted by Lucas Davies View Post
              Caro-Kann, obviously...
              I'm working on a game which completely busts a known line of the Caro-Kann after black's move 6, in that line. When it's finished I'll post the game, provided I win. I don't post my loses. We're only at move 22, he's asked for a draw three times even though he's up a piece.

              Next time he asks for a draw I'm going to tell him to "Resign, Moron". His position is busted.
              Gary Ruben
              CC - IA and SIM

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                Is it a line that I play, though... Probably not.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                  Originally posted by Gary Ruben View Post
                  ..

                  Next time he asks for a draw I'm going to tell him to "Resign, Moron".

                  ...
                  did "Resign, Moron" make the chess quotes website? :)

                  looking forward to seeing the game...

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                    Gary if you say you busted a line why are you not so-sure if you will win or not??

                    I'm going with najdorf, it busts 1.e4.
                    University and Chess, a difficult mix.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                      I voted for the Najdorf open Sicilian. I got a draw against GM Charbonneau in a 30 player simul a few years ago but he played the line with Bb5+ before I got to play a6. I knew next to nothing about this line but managed to hold the draw. My rating at the time was around 1950. He of course was playing 29 other people at the same time. Take this for what it is worth.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                        Originally posted by Kevin Pacey View Post
                        In an attempt to see how many chesstalk readers, if pressed, would agree with Gary Ruben that the French is a poor choice, this poll asks what 1.e4 defence is objectively best, in each respondent's opinion, for a lower rated player to upset a 2500+ player.
                        I voted for the first option
                        1. because I belong to the GRFC
                        2. you didn't specifically mention The Rat.

                        Incidentally, when Gary mentions strong players, he refers to those who thoroughly understand how to beat the opening in question. I'm afraid that a mere 2500 would not necessarily fit the bill.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                          Originally posted by Jonathan Berry View Post
                          when Gary mentions strong players, he refers to those who thoroughly understand how to beat the opening in question. I'm afraid that a mere 2500 would not necessarily fit the bill.
                          I seem to recall Gary once refering to 2500 otb (FIDE?) as *strong*, but I'm not sure. I tried to run down an old thread with a quote of his to that effect but couldn't find it (easily anyway - perhaps it was on the old chesstalk?!).

                          In any case, he once refered to a 2450 correspondence rating as his equivalent of 'the Mendoza line' in baseball:

                          http://www.chesstalk.info/forum/show...hlight=Winawer
                          Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
                          Murphy's law, by Edward A. Murphy Jr., USAF, Aerospace Engineer

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                            Originally posted by Jonathan Berry View Post
                            I voted for the first option
                            1. because I belong to the GRFC
                            2. you didn't specifically mention The Rat.
                            By GRFC I assume you mean, with irony, the Gary Ruben Fan Club :).

                            The Rat would be included in the "Other" category. Not that that necessarily belittles that opening by relegating it with 'the rest' (though since I'm biased to accept most ECO evaluations, with so many critical lines given as += [at least] against the Rat, plus since most world class players never seem to choose to play that defence, why not lump it in with 'the rest'?).
                            Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
                            Murphy's law, by Edward A. Murphy Jr., USAF, Aerospace Engineer

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: What 1.e4 defence is objectively best to try to upset an unknown 2500+ player?

                              Originally posted by Adam Cormier View Post
                              Gary if you say you busted a line why are you not so-sure if you will win or not??

                              I'm going with najdorf, it busts 1.e4.
                              There is always a chance I am missing something. I sacrificed a knight in the first 10 moves. Here's the first 10 moves. The games is more than twice this far.

                              1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.Nd2 dxe4 4.Nxe4 Nd7 5.Ng5 Ngf6 6.Bd3 h6 7.Ne6 Qa5+ 8.Bd2 Qb6 9.Nf3 fxe6 10.Bg6+ Kd8

                              To play this in correspondence chess I had to feel certain it couldn't be beaten by a strong chess program and a fast computer.
                              Gary Ruben
                              CC - IA and SIM

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