Anthropogenic Negative Climate Change (ANCC)

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  • Sid Belzberg
    replied


    This information is from an anonymous contributor. It describes the evidence from the GIS (Geographic Information System) of extreme precision and selectivity of the Lahaina fire. It also points to the plans of potentially moving all low-income residents off their properties and into a concentration camp, ahem, a 15-minute city.

    GIS system is a computer system for capturing, storing, checking, and displaying data related to positions on Earth’s surface. GIS can show many different kinds of data on one map, such as streets, buildings, and vegetation. This enables people to more easily see, analyze, and understand patterns and relationships. US Government has all these data layers in extreme detail for all developed areas in the country.
    As of today (Aug 25, 2023) if you navigate your web browser to Google Maps, select "satellite view", then select "globe view". It appears that the aerial imagery was recently updated to reflect the damage from the recent "event", that took place in Lahaina Hawaii earlier this August. Out of curiosity I also looked at GIS information on Lahaina, (link below) and wanted to see if there is correlation between damaged structures and particular zoning. I found some interesting things here.

    GISLink: https://qpublic.schneidercorp.com/Ap...e=450210130000

    Starting at the North end of Lahaina, I see the Fire Station, Courthouse, Civic center, Police Station where all spared from fire damage despite very clear fire damage to surrounding undeveloped land around these buildings.

    What I found interesting is the surrounding undeveloped land with extensive fire damage, are parcels owned by "Department of Hawaiian Homelands", "Housing Finance and Dev Corp", which both appear to be the same and fall under Hawaii's HUD authority. HUD appears own property running south from the civic center down to the Lahaina Bypass.

    Everything west of HUD owned parcels are hundreds of small residential lots which where all destroyed seemingly from fires on originating from that HUD land.

    Only a small home community was spared and appears intact between Leiali Pkwy and Kaniau Road. Interesting thing about this community is it appears to fall
    Under HUD authority as well!

    Large inland parcels south of the Lahaina Bypass are owned by large developers and trusts, and everything west of these parcels were hundreds of small residential lots which were all destroyed as well.

    What’s most interesting about looking at the aerial imagery, is that amongst the destruction are various structures still standing with green grass & green trees, nearly right up to edge or property line. Looking at GIS data & street view some don't make sense, as a few have all wood construction! In other cases, condo complexes that appear to be of concrete construction, completely destroyed.

    The large commercial area in the center of Lahaina appears to be untouched, the schools on eastern end of Lahaina also appear untouched. This could also very well be due to the construction of these buildings.

    A standout of precise destruction is a cluster of what appear to be recently constructed townhomes and condominiums, called "Kahoma Village". The entire community appears intact, intact homes, green grass. Yet four of the buildings in the center completely destroyed, with cars in the adjacent parking areas looking untouched.

    Overall if you're in a residential zone, commercial mixed use, industrial, hotel zone, damage or destruction is heavy. It appears the government is assigning a "Destroyed 823" code to a lot of these parcels as well.

    I can't help but notice the destruction of buildings is almost following the property lines, even extents of building exteriors. It would be akin to clicking a parcel or structure in GIS and selecting the "terminate" option.
    I was looking at this more last night and discovered some drone footage uploaded earlier this week. 18 min of drone footage taken the day after:



    Footage is mainly the southern end of Lahaina:



    -At 2:05 you can see the Komoha Village I referenced. 4 buildings burned to the ground, yet no evidence of surrounding damage to remaining buildings fully intact. Buildings to the right don’t even have soot on the roof or burned shingles! I’m guessing this complex was being built sometime after March 2020 based on parcel data.

    -At 2:18 he flies drone south over front street apartments, according to GIS these are low-income homes completely destroyed.

    -At 2:32 he’s flying east, structure on the left in foreground was formally a 4-story condo complex. On the top left of the screen on background you see new homes being constructed, this is on HUD owned land according to parcel map.

    -At 4:42 he’s now flying south; you see the fully intact Lahaina Shores beach resort. Directly north to this resort was formally a bunch of small businesses in two story structures you can see on street view. Appears the only thing remaining is the elevator shaft. What’s interesting about this is according to GIS, Lahaina Shores also owned this but had their parcel subdivided into hotel & historic. The structure sat on historic, yet the hotel is fine. Still, I see no smoke damage, heat damage, nor soot on the hotel.

    I was looking more at GIS map as well. Looks like there is a right of way cutout for the Lahaina bypass to continue north at some point. In addition, the road adjacent to the gov building is called Lelali Pkwy and looks designed to handle high traffic. If I continue on GIS map north into Kaanapali, parcels owned by private developers appear the have a right of way for a roadway that could connected to Lahaina bypass.
    What’s unique about this is the infrastructure of this town is intact. The gov buildings are fine, all roadways are fine and usable. Bridges are intact. The water treatment plant on top of the hill adjacent to school (east end of Lahaina) is fine. School is intact. The substation and solar farm next to school are intact. The commercial area and new low-income homes being built off Lahaina bypass are fine. Wastewater treatment plant appears to be north of Lahaina in Kaanapali is intact. Essentially, it’s a turnkey community ready to be “redeveloped”. I call it weaponized GIS, because to me it looks like parcels and buildings were clicked and destroyed in a GUI program (much like they would be in my CAD programs).

    My 2 cents: government signs emergency order to rezone the agri land owned by HUD on northeast end of Lahaina, all the displaced indigenous and low-income residents are put there. The is all expediated due to urgent need for homes. All the land west of them adjacent to the water is redeveloped into condos to pay for the project. Residents are hit with some kind of “hazardous environment fee” to financially prevent them from rebuilding their property. The other partially destroyed condo complexes file massive insurance claims for damaged buildings. New structures will also have to conform to some kind of environmental sustainability regulations which will also be cost prohibitive to low-income native residents. Aside from the water, the community has two main points to enter and exit, residents have their very own new 15-minute city.



    https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p...m_medium=email
    Last edited by Sid Belzberg; Monday, 28th August, 2023, 11:14 AM.

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  • Sid Belzberg
    replied
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  • Sid Belzberg
    replied
    Originally posted by Bob Gillanders View Post

    I think statement # 10 is outrageous.

    If true, it would give the fossil fuel industry unlimited licence to burn everything, because hey "would have no impact on the climate".
    As the church lady says, "how convenient".

    In recent weeks, I've just been scrolling thru this thread mostly out of curiosity. There really is no point in arguing with Sid, he is not going to convince me, and I am not going to convince him. I have more productive ways to spend my time. Some of the debate has been interesting, I'll give you that. But statement #10, c'mon?

    I do follow climate updates elsewhere, and I don't see any mention of support for statement #10. I know Sid has cited a recent study by a couple of scientists, so if it does gain credibility elsewhere, I will let you know.

    So, instead of just letting statement #10 stand as is, I think some notation that it is not considered generally accepted as of now.
    I am probably not going to say anything more, so good luck with your debate.
    If you have evidence that refutes peer-reviewed science, please show it to me. "Generally accepted" is as meaningless today as it was in times of persecuting Galileo for not conforming with "generally accepted." Science does not progress with the "generally accepted." 20+ million people are now dead from the adverse events of slow-kill bioweapons aka "vaccines" These, too were "generally accepted".

    I could not give a damn about what is considered "generally accepted statements" by those who cite health problems that do not enable them to listen to viewpoints that do not conform with their views. What is your excuse BobG?



    Last edited by Sid Belzberg; Monday, 28th August, 2023, 10:58 AM.

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  • Bob Gillanders
    replied
    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    Group Secretary Ruling

    Statement # 10


    [B]Additional carbon beyond 400-450 PPM where we are today (est) has no impact on the climate as all heat is absorbed in the first 400 PPM.
    I think statement # 10 is outrageous.

    If true, it would give the fossil fuel industry unlimited licence to burn everything, because hey "would have no impact on the climate".
    As the church lady says, "how convenient".

    In recent weeks, I've just been scrolling thru this thread mostly out of curiosity. There really is no point in arguing with Sid, he is not going to convince me, and I am not going to convince him. I have more productive ways to spend my time. Some of the debate has been interesting, I'll give you that. But statement #10, c'mon?

    I do follow climate updates elsewhere, and I don't see any mention of support for statement #10. I know Sid has cited a recent study by a couple of scientists, so if it does gain credibility elsewhere, I will let you know.

    So instead of just letting statement #10 stand as is, I think some notation that it is not considered generally accepted as of now.
    I am probably not going to say anything more, so good luck with your debate.
    Last edited by Bob Gillanders; Monday, 28th August, 2023, 10:35 AM.

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  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Group Secretary Ruling

    Statement # 10


    Additional carbon beyond 400-450 PPM where we are today (est) has no impact on the climate as all heat is absorbed in the first 400 PPM.

    Statement # 11


    Carbon dioxide is not a dangerous pollutant. CO2 is the most important nutrient for all life on Earth, without it,we would be a dead planet.

    Both Statements # 10 & # 11 deal with the issue of CO2.

    But this group is also dealing with a related earlier Statement # 6:


    For 650,000 years, CO2 in Earth's atmosphere never rose beyond 300 parts per million (to 1949). In 1950, 100 years after the start of the Industrial Revolution [1850], the percentage of the air/atmosphere that is CO2 had spiked dramatically to 380 parts per million. Since 1950, we have now had another 75 years of the Industrial Revolution. We are seeking a source for the 2023 count for CO2 parts per million.
    [Note: The significance of CO2, and the Industrial Revolution, as factors in negative climate change is hotly debated. But it is necessary to include a factual finding on these two items, to have some common factual statement concerning them, for future Statements & debate.]


    This Statement # 6 is now subject to a Revision Challenge. The proposed Revised Statement is:

    Between 600 million and 400 million years ago, CO2 in Earth's atmosphere was quite high (over 600 ppm). Between 200 million and 150 million years ago, it had dropped to over 300 ppm. and remained there. But by 2022, almost 200 years after the start of the Industrial Revolution [1850], the percentage of the air/atmosphere that is CO2 had again spiked. "Carbon dioxide measured at NOAA’s Mauna Loa Atmospheric Baseline Observatory peaked for 2022 at 421 parts per million in May, pushing the atmosphere further into territory not seen for millions of years, scientists from NOAA and Scripps Institution of Oceanography offsite link at the University of California San Diego announced today. "
    [ Note:
    The significance of CO2 as a factor in negative climate change is hotly debated. Whether CO2 production from the time of the Industrial Revolution is relevant is also hotly debated. These await further Statements, if any generally accepted Statements are possible.]

    Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere - Wikipedia

    https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/ca...ustrial-levels

    Comment

    All deal in some way with CO2. We should avoid any inconsistent Statements on CO2.

    Secretary Ruling

    There will be set a new one week deadline for dealing with Statements # 10 & # 11, both currently under Challenge. The date of starting of the new one week processing for these Statements will be the date of the determination of the fate of Statement # 6.

    [Note: This ruling in no way affects the processing of proposed Statement # 9 of Sid Belzberg; the deadline for additional challenges to that of Bob Armstrong (
    As Participant) still stands: 11:59 PM EDT tonight (Monday, Aug. 28)]

    Processing

    There will be one week to Challenge this Secretary Ruling extending the deadlines for processing Statements # 10 & # 11; deadline: Monday, Sept. 4 @ 11:59 PM EDT. Only after this Ruling is settled, will the new deadlines for one week processing for Statements # 6, # 10 & # 11 be reset.

    Bob A (As Group Secretary)
    Last edited by Bob Armstrong; Monday, 28th August, 2023, 04:51 AM.

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  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Statements on Negative Climate Change Generally Accepted by a Group of Canadian tournament Chess Players on the national chess discussion board, ChessTalk (Non-Chess Topics). The individuals represent a political partisan spectrum, and an issue spectrum.

    Statement # 11 (Proposed - Sid Belzberg - Post # 1670 - 23/8/21)

    Carbon dioxide is not a dangerous pollutant. CO2 is the most important nutrient for all life on Earth, without it,we would be a dead planet.

    Support Reasons:

    Greening of the Earth and its drivers


    Abstract

    Global environmental change is rapidly altering the dynamics of terrestrial vegetation, with consequences for the functioning of the Earth system and provision of ecosystem services1,2. Yet how global vegetation is responding to the changing environment is not well established. Here we use three long-term satellite leaf area index (LAI) records and ten global ecosystem models to investigate four key drivers of LAI trends during 1982–2009. We show a persistent and widespread increase of growing season integrated LAI (greening) over 25% to 50% of the global vegetated area, whereas less than 4% of the globe shows decreasing LAI (browning). Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70% of the observed greening trend, followed by nitrogen deposition (9%), climate change (8%) and land cover change (LCC) (4%). CO2 fertilization effects explain most of the greening trends in the tropics, whereas climate change resulted in greening of the high latitudes and the Tibetan Plateau. LCC contributed most to the regional greening observed in southeast China and the eastern United States. The regional effects of unexplained factors suggest that the next generation of ecosystem models will need to explore the impacts of forest demography, differences in regional management intensities for cropland and pastures, and other emerging productivity constraints such as phosphorus availability.


    https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004

    32 authors from 24 institutions in 8 countries has revealed that an analysis of satellite data shows that there has been a 14% increase in green vegetation over 30 years between 1986 and 2016. 70% of this increase is attributed to CO2 in the air and that vegetation has increased every year from 1982 to 2009. The increase amounts to the equivalent of two landmasses the size of the United States in new green vegetation.

    The “greening” is most impactful in arid regions where they have high temperatures and higher CO2 concentrations. This helps plants to retain more water during transpiration which will help during dry spells and make the plants less “water-stressed.” The increased CO2 results in higher crop yields, which equates to more food and thriving wildlife. The result has been a $3 trillion increase in crop yields over the last 30 years.

    Opposition Challenge Reasons


    CO2 is a major component of the greenhouse gas canopy around Earth. This canopy (Methane is actually the more serious component however) is causing heat to be trapped in the Earth's air/atmosphere, and is raising the temperature of Earth's air/atmosphere, oceans and seas, soil, etc. this is the greatest threat to his existence that man has ever faced.

    Humans cannot handle "heat prostration" (Definition: A condition marked by weakness, nausea, dizziness, and profuse sweating that results from physical exertion in a hot environment. Heat exhaustion Definition & Meaning - Merriam-Webster). Only now, the "heat prostration" is not due to "physical exercise".....it is due to the simple inability to escape the heat. Even if Humans are able to go underground, the technology for inside air quality and temperature control will brake down under the stress on the energy system.

    The fact that CO2 is good for Earth's vegetation is not relevant. Continued existence of the human species is more important than the greening of the planet.

    For the Role of CO2 from 500 million years ago, see the video of YouTuber Pothole54.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBF6F4Bi6Sg&t=38s


    So CO2 is a "dangerous pollutant", and Statement # 11 is false.

    Processing: Statement # 11 has been open to "Opposition Challenge"; deadline: Mon., Aug. 28 @ 11:59 PM EDT (one week). It finally has now been challenged. But under our protocol, the deadline for the Group Secretary to reach a Conclusion on Statement # 11 still applies.

    Request of Challenger

    At the moment, one CT'er supports the Statement # 11 (Sid Belzberg, the Proposer). One CT'er has launched an opposition challenge (Me), arguing the Statement is not true, and so should NOT be generally accepted by this group.

    Under our current protocol, this Statement # 10 is going to be ruled by the Group Secretary, to be "generally accepted" unless one other CT'er comes forward with "Supplementary Challenge Reasons". I would ask all CT'ers here to take a second look at the proposed Statement # 10, and the arguments, and if you decide the Statement is not true, then please post so that the Challenge is supported by at least one other CT'er in the group, other than just me (A tie in voting, as exists at this moment, makes Sid the winner [sigh]).

    Bob A (As Group Secretary)
    Last edited by Bob Armstrong; Monday, 28th August, 2023, 04:19 AM.

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  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Statements on Negative Climate Change
    (Generally Accepted by a Group of Canadian tournament Chess Players on the national chess discussion board, ChessTalk (Non-Chess Topics); they represent a spectrum of partisan political opinion, and an issue spectrum; in Layman's Terms")

    [Part II (Of 2); Part I above]

    Proposer's Supplementary Support Reasons
    - Sid Belzberg - Post # 1686 - 23/8/25

    "Originally posted by Bob Armstrong}

    Methane has more than 80 times the warming power of carbon dioxide over the first 20 years after it reaches the atmosphere. Even though CO[SUB


    2[/SUB] has a longer-lasting effect, methane sets the pace for warming in the near term. At least 25% of today's global warming is driven by methane from human actions.

    Methane: A crucial opportunity in the climate fight (https://www.edf.org/climate/methane-...-climate-fight)"

    This statement fails to refute Dr Happer et al analysis that despite the higher warming power, the percentage is not high enough to be a significant factor.

    "Originally posted by Bob Armstrong}. Nitrous oxide stays in the atmosphere for an average of 114 years, where it can be converted into nitrogen oxides that

    deplete the stratospheric ozone layer and expose the Earth to more solar radiation, thereby damaging crops and human health."

    This statement fails to refute the fact again as per Dr. Happer et al that the rate of increase rate of increase of N2O molecules which has held steady at around 0.00085 ppm/year since the year 1985. Hence again is not a significant driver of climate change or damage to the ozone layer nor will it be in the foreseeable future.

    Further information about why the Ozone layer hysteria is long ago debunked fraudulent junk science, a particular genre of "science" that BobA seems to be a great fan of.


    The "Ozone Layer" - what's going on?
    Additional material August 2006.
    Major 'Oops!' September 2007: Chemists poke holes in ozone theory: Reaction data of crucial chloride compounds called into question.

    The Montreal Protocol and nasty countries (read: the U.S.) wishing to retain use of critical chemicals alleged to harm the "ozone layer" continue to generate considerable press. What is it all about?
    As every schoolboy should by now have read, total columnar ozone (the amount over a given point) would only amount to a paltry couple of millimetres if brought down to sea level. So, does this mean that our defence, our critical solar shield we call the ozone layer, is a thin and fragile membrane about the atmosphere, finite and being worn threadbare by assault from anthropogenic (human produced) chemicals? Hardly, although one could be forgiven for having such an impression given the hysteria generated by various chemophobes and misanthropes. Stratospheric ozone is not a fixed and finite resource but is constantly created - and destroyed - by solar radiation.
    The table below contains thumbnail graphics of global monthly average ozone levels derived from Earth Probe TOMS. Click on the thumbnail to load a copy of NASA's original 640 x 480 image in .gif format. The date range covers all available EP-TOMS data and the months highlighted here are arbitrarily chosen as quarterly from September (greatest Antarctic Ozone Anomaly, incorrectly described as "the ozone hole" by the press, actually a localised seasonal reduction).
    So, what are we looking at?
    September, and spring in the Southern Hemisphere, when returning sunlight powers significantly increased ozone destructive reactions in the super-cold polar stratosphere and winter-strengthened circumpolar winds reduce atmospheric mixing from the currently ozone-overloaded temperate zone (lowest South Polar and highest southern temperate zone levels are recorded in this season). Tropical levels are typically at their highest and Arctic levels about their most moderate at this time of year.
    December: South Polar vortex has largely collapsed and southern temperate and polar regions are ozone replete. Southern tropical levels are moderate while northern tropical regions demonstrate some depletion as Arctic levels rise dramatically.
    March: massive North Polar and Northern Temperate ozone levels are observed along with low-moderate levels in the Southern Hemisphere. Note that there is no Arctic ozone anomaly. This is not because so-called ODS (Ozone Depleting Substances) are "map-heavy" and all fall to the South Pole. In fact, anthropogenic emissions of these alleged nasties is significantly higher in the land- and population-dense Northern Hemisphere. The difference between the poles is temperature - or rather, the lack of it. Ozone-destructive reactions are facilitated by Polar Stratospheric Clouds which are rare in the more moderate North and seasonal in the super-cold South.
    http://junksciencearchive.com/Ozone/ozone_seasonal.html


    Processing

    There has been given one week for CT'ers to weigh in. You can either post "Support Reasons", supporting Sid's proposal, or, "Supplemental Challenge Reasons", supporting Bob A's Challenge (Deadline: Friday, 23/9/1 @ 11:59 PM EDT).

    Request of Challenger

    At the moment, one CT'er supports the Statement # 9 (Sid Belzberg, the Proposer). One CT'er has launched an opposition challenge (Me), arguing the Statement is not true, and so should NOT be generally accepted by this group.

    Under our current protocol, this Statement # 9 is going to be ruled by the Group Secretary, to be "generally accepted" unless one other CT'er comes forward with "Supplementary Challenge Reasons". I would ask all CT'ers here to take a second look at the proposed Statement # 9, and the arguments, and if you decide the Statement is not true, then please post so that the Challenge is supported by at least one other CT'er in the group, other than just me (A tie in voting, as exists at this moment, makes Sid the winner [sigh]).

    Bob A (As Participant)
    Last edited by Bob Armstrong; Thursday, 31st August, 2023, 07:46 AM.

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  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Statements on Negative Climate Change
    (Generally Accepted by a Group of Canadian tournament Chess Players on the national chess discussion board, ChessTalk (Non-Chess Topics); they represent a spectrum of partisan political opinion, and an issue spectrum; in Layman's Terms")

    Part I (Of 2)

    Statement 9 (Proposed by Sid Belzberg – See Post # 1646 – 23/8/15)

    The two seminal papers by distinguished atmospheric physicists, William Happer of the Princeton University Department of Physics and William A. van Wijngaarden of the York University, Canada, Department of Physics and Astronomy prove that Methane and Nitrous Oxide emissions have no statistically meaningful effect on warming hence farming does not have anything to do with climate change.

    Support Reasons 1:
    Sid Belzberg – Post # 1646 – 23/8/15

    Methane and Climate

    https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/...nd-Climate.pdf

    Abstract
    Atmospheric methane (CH4 ) contributes to the radiative forcing of Earth’s atmosphere. Radiative forcing is the difference in the net upward thermal radiation from the Earth through a transparent atmosphere and radiation through an otherwise identical atmosphere with greenhouse gases. Radiative forcing, normally specified in Watts per square meter (W m−2), depends on latitude, longitude and altitude, but it is often quoted for a representative temperate latitude and for the altitude of the tropopause, or for the top of the atmosphere. For current concentrations of greenhouse gases, the radiative forcing at the tropopause, per added CH4 molecule, is about 30 times larger than the forcing per added carbon-dioxide (CO2 ) molecule. This is due to the heavy saturation of the absorption band of the abundant greenhouse gas, CO2 . But the rate of increase of CO2 molecules, about 2.3 ppm/year (ppm = part per million), is about 300 times larger than the rate of increase of CH4 molecules, which has been around 0.0076 ppm/year since the year 2008.

    So the contribution of methane to the annual increase in forcing is one tenth (30/300) that of carbon dioxide. The net forcing from CH4 and CO2 increases is about 0.05 W m−2 year−1. Other things being equal, this will cause a temperature increase of about 0.012 C year−1. Proposals to place harsh restrictions on methane emissions because of warming fears are not justified by facts


    Nitrous Oxide and Climate

    https://co2coalition.org/wp-content/...rous-Oxide.pdf

    C. A. de Lange1, J. D. Ferguson2, W. Happer3, and W. A. van Wijngaarden4

    1Atomic, Molecular and Laser Physics, Vrije Universiteit, De Boelelaan 1081, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    2University of Pennsylvania School of Veterinary Medicine, USA 3Department of Physics, Princeton University, USA
    4Department of Physics and Astronomy, York University, Canada

    November 10, 2022

    Abstract

    Higher concentrations of atmospheric nitrous oxide (N2O) are expected to slightly warm Earth’s surface because of increases in radiative forcing. Radiative forcing is the difference in the net upward thermal radiation flux from the Earth through a transparent atmosphere and radiation through an otherwise identical atmosphere with greenhouse gases. Radiative forcing, normally measured in W m−2, depends on lati- tude, longitude and altitude, but it is often quoted for the tropopause, about 11 km of altitude for temperate latitudes, or for the top of the atmosphere at around 90 km. For current concentrations of greenhouse gases, the radiative forcing per added N2O molecule is about 230 times larger than the forcing per added carbon dioxide (CO2) molecule. This is due to the heavy saturation of the absorption band of the relatively abundant greenhouse gas, CO2, compared to the much smaller saturation of the absorption bands of the trace greenhouse gas N2O. But the rate of increase of CO2 molecules, about 2.5 ppm/year (ppm = part per million by mole), is about 3000 times larger than the rate of increase of N2O molecules, which has held steady at around 0.00085 ppm/year since the year 1985. So, the contribution of nitrous oxide to the annual increase in forcing is 230/3000 or about 1/13 that of CO2. If the main greenhouse gases, CO2, CH4 and N2O have contributed about 0.1 C/decade of the warming observed over the past few decades, this would correspond to about 0.00064 K per year or 0.064 K per century of warming from N2O.

    Proposals to place harsh restrictions on nitrous oxide emissions because of warming fears are not justified by these facts. Restrictions would cause serious harm; for example, by jeopardizing world food supplies.
    [Secretary Note: Where Challenge, Defence, Support and Supplement texts are extensive, in future only the reference to the extensive Post Number will be posted (Otherwise updates become unwieldy). But it is open to the author to post an Executive Summary of the text to replace the extensive text. The Executive Summary text will be added in.]


    Opposition Challenge - Bob Armstrong - Post # 1685 - 23/8/25

    Methane & Negative Climate Change

    Methane has more than 80 times the warming power of carbon dioxide over the first 20 years after it reaches the atmosphere. Even though CO2 has a longer-lasting effect, methane sets the pace for warming in the near term. At least 25% of today's global warming is driven by methane from human actions.

    Methane: A crucial opportunity in the climate fight (https://www.edf.org/climate/methane-...-climate-fight)

    Nitrous Oxide & Negative Climate Change

    a. Nitrous oxide stays in the atmosphere for an average of 114 years, where it can be converted into nitrogen oxides that deplete the stratospheric ozone layer and expose the Earth to more solar radiation, thereby damaging crops and human health.

    https://www.eesi.org/articles/view/l...greenhouse-gas

    b. Despite its increasing role in global warming and effect on the ozone layer, little has been done to rein in this climate pollutant. One big reason: agriculture.

    https://insideclimatenews.org/news/1...ure-livestock/

    Conclusion

    The production of methane, and the use of Nitrous Oxide fertilizers, in farming, contributes to humanity's most pressing problem of negative climate change. Farming must adapt so as to lessen its contribution to negative climate change.

    [See Part 2 below]

    Bob A (As Participant)






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  • Pargat Perrer
    replied
    Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

    Can you imagine how pathetic your life would have to be to devote your energies to being a troll on a low volume, low impact discussion board like chesstalk. The only thing more pathetic would be to invent chess variants that no one plays and to take yourself seriously and think that others should do so as well.
    As I've said before, I don't "devote energies" much into CT at all. It has been child's play to destruct Dilip's LIbertarian viewpoints. I come here, spend half an hour, and am done. Easy peasy.

    Pathetic indeed is calling oneself a philosopher king while resorting to name calling as a main tactic against opponents.

    Inventing chess variants, whether or not anyone plays them, is fun and creative. And that's the only reason I do it. I don't seek or need recognition like some people.

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  • Dilip Panjwani
    replied
    Originally posted by Vlad Drkulec View Post

    Can you imagine how pathetic your life would have to be to devote your energies to being a troll on a low volume, low impact discussion board like chesstalk. The only thing more pathetic would be to invent chess variants that no one plays and to take yourself seriously and think that others should do so as well.
    So true, Vlad!

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  • Vlad Drkulec
    replied
    Originally posted by Dilip Panjwani View Post

    O no, Bob, I never implied that you are a troll.... on the contrary, your effort at having a meaningful discussion with me is being disrupted by a troll, PP...
    You are a sincere poster, the opposite of a troll. Trolls should be made to compensate you.
    Can you imagine how pathetic your life would have to be to devote your energies to being a troll on a low volume, low impact discussion board like chesstalk. The only thing more pathetic would be to invent chess variants that no one plays and to take yourself seriously and think that others should do so as well.

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  • Vlad Drkulec
    replied
    Originally posted by Dilip Panjwani View Post

    Everyone on chesstalk realizes and many have even stated it that your comments, almost always silly, are not welcome on chesstalk.
    Careful, Bonham may metastasize into a new personality requiring five minutes to identify him again.

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  • Dilip Panjwani
    replied
    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    The Outlier

    Dilip Panjwani - Post # 1700 - 23/8/26

    "In Libertarianism all what a troll would end up with is paying an appropriate compensation to those whose 'process' (like your statements-building effort) they disrupt with deliberately non-sensical (hence called trolling) arguments..."

    My Response

    I am a Democratic Marxist. I like to believe I am not a troll, but a contributor to my society.

    I have very many detractors in society........I have been called "The Scourge of the Earth". I have been accused of being unnecessarily disruptive by making both Statements of Fact and Statements of Opinion. I have been told talking to me is a waste of time......I am a waste of space . My Statements have on occasion been deemed "deliberately nonsensical" (I come within your definition of a "troll").

    In the current Capitalist society of Canada, fortunately, I do have free speech, and I am entitled to march to my own drummer. I have never had a court case launched against me for my speech or writing (No Libel [Published]; No Slander [Oral]).....not yet anyway..........though my Fb page just got a warning from Mark that somehow my TRN group is breaching Fb Standards ????

    It sounds like under a Libertarian government, I am going to be making all kinds of "compensation payments" to my peers (sigh) who believe that I am harming them, somehow, and that the Natural Law is not going to protect me.

    Bob A
    O no, Bob, I never implied that you are a troll.... on the contrary, your effort at having a meaningful discussion with me is being disrupted by a troll, PP...
    You are a sincere poster, the opposite of a troll. Trolls should be made to compensate you.

    Leave a comment:


  • Dilip Panjwani
    replied
    Originally posted by Pargat Perrer View Post
    Originally posted by Pargat Perrer
    And this guy wants us to have a single Natural Law! The application of which would require ..... concensus? But Lordy Lordy, we cannot HAVE concensus!

    ROFLMAO





    Says the guy who cannot spell "whether" (post 1699 in this thread).

    But I, unlike Dilip, do not ascribe magical powers to correct spelling. We all know languages are difficult at best.

    As for "argues irrelevantly", is it really irrelevant to argue how Natural Law is AGREED UPON? Especially when it is going to be the the one thing that guides everyone's lives under a hypothetical Libertarian regime?

    Come on, Dilip, can you be any more ridiculous? You already said Natural Law is a consensus of Judges and police. But then in another post responding to Bob A., you say there can be NO CONSENSUS!

    (Your post #1703 in this thread)

    Again .... ROFLMAO

    Just admit it Dilip .... you are steamrolled! You are the laughingstock of this thread! LOL





    Everyone on chesstalk realizes and many have even stated it that your comments, almost always silly, are not welcome on chesstalk.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    Whether a Statement is True?

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    Dilip Panjwani - Post # 1703 - 23/8/26

    "opinions could be wrong or non-determinable. So you cannot say that two persons having some opinion should be 'accepted' as an 'agreement' (consensus, in your terms), ignoring the possibly correct opinion of the minority of one person...."

    Response

    Statements of Fact - these may be true, in the sense that the majority accepts them as such in the present. But they must be always open to challenge (Scientists are clear on this.......a statement of fact is always "tentative" - evidence may come up tomorrow that disproves the statement - as happened when we all were sure of the Statement: The Earth is flat). So in this sense, a Statement of Fact may indeed be FALSE........but the universe must unfold further for this to be established.

    Statements of Opinion - this is where the majority does not agree that the person's statement is sufficiently defended as fact by the evidence then being marshalled. So we say "S/he is entitled to his/her opinion (Even though it is as of yet "unproven", and most likely is wrong, based on the majority's view of what is needed in evidence to agree to it). But it may be by serendipity that the Statement is in fact TRUE, but the evidence still has to come forward in the future, to be sufficient for the majority to accept it as true. It is true that some people have very good intuition - they instinctively know that something is true, but they just can't get the evidence together to prove it to the majority. But until they do so, theirs is not a Statement of Fact, but a Statement of opinion.

    The Conversation Format

    If two people "agree" that some Statement is true (A Statement of Fact), we do not have an open "consensus" when the group numbers 40 people, as here.

    "Consensus" - Definition - Wikipedia

    What consensus is Not

    "1. Not a majority vote

    Consensus is not a majority vote. Every opinion counts. Consensus accounts for dissent and addresses it, although it does not always accommodate it. An option preferred by 51% of people is generally not enough for consensus. An option that is narrowly preferred is almost never consensus.

    A vote may help to organize discussion around specific proposals, but this can sometimes breed conflict and division. One problem with a yes-or-no vote on a proposal is that there may be a consensus for a middle option. Even a "middle ground" option can be insufficient, as forcing people to choose between options may prevent new ideas from coming forward that would gain more support. Another problem with voting is that it might prevent a real discussion, as voters do not have to justify their position. This prevents people from evaluating the underlying reasons for a vote, and criticizing weak or inaccurate reasoning for a vote. It also prevents people from coming up with alternative ways to satisfy the voter's concern, with a less divisive course of action.

    The best way to determine consensus is to actually read and understand each person's arguments, even if they are divided on the surface. A consensus can be found by looking for common ground and synthesizing the best solution that the group can achieve at that time.

    2. Not unanimity

    Consensus is not the same as unanimity. Every discussion should involve a good faith effort to hear and understand each other. However, after people have had a chance to state their viewpoint, it may become necessary to ignore someone or afford them less weight in order to move forward with what the group feels is best. Sometimes a rough consensus is enough to move forward.

    Insisting on unanimity can allow a minority opinion to filibuster the process. If someone knows that the group cannot move forward without their consent, they may harden their position in order to get their way. This is considered unacceptable on Wikipedia as a form of gaming the system, as well as tendentious editing. There is even a three revert rule to limit efforts to stonewall the editing process.

    Editors should make a good faith effort to reach a consensus. That means that the dissenting party has to state how the current proposal fails to meet the interests of the wider group, rather than merely stating they will not accept it. But after a good faith discussion, sometimes the dissenting party must consent to move forward even if they disagree with the specific course of action.
    Not all or nothing


    If the group can identify areas of agreement, they should move forward where the group shares the same view. A complicated dispute might involve several issues, and some issues may be more controversial than others. But a disagreement on one issue should not prevent consensus on another issue. It is not helpful to expect complete and total agreement on every aspect of the dispute. Work with the issues where there is common ground, and revisit the lingering issues later if necessary.

    3. Not permanent

    Consensus can change. Past decisions are open to challenge and are not binding, and changes are sometimes reasonable. When challenging an old consensus, it may help to explain what you think has changed in that time.

    What "Consensus" IS!

    Consensus is the community resolution when opposing parties set aside their differences and agree on a statement that is agreeable to all, even if only barely."

    Our CT'er Group

    Consensus is NOT what we are trying to achieve........we almost always have one person, at least, for whom no Statement on the issue is acceptable [Or the "Consensus" Statement is such an obvious no-brainer that the effort to get consensus has been a waste of time.]

    We want to produce a Statement that is "generally accepted", that is accepted by majority vote. But we do have the problem of non-participation (Some only wish to view and learn; they do not want to engage in public discussion, which is forever archived). So if only 3 out of 40 vote, what do we do? We use the principle that if you object, BUT SAY NOTHING, the group is entitled to assume that you DO AGREE with the majority of those who voted [If you don't speak up, the problem is of your own making].

    I hope this clears up that "Consensus" is not what I want, or what the group wants, to achieve.

    Bob A (As Group Secretary)

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