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Any updates? Do you still predict Trump wins in Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania?
Looks like Trump must win Florida and N.Carolina, but it's not enough. Trump can win without Michigan and Minnesota, but his chances are pretty low in he loses both these states.
Looks like Pennsylvania can be a deal-breaker this year.
About myself: I made some relatively small bets this year. Trump win Florida (equal money), North Carolina (almost equal) and USA (2.75). I was much more confident 4 years ago.
Any updates? Do you still predict Trump wins in Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania?
This is Trafalgar polling prediction that was the only polling firm to get it right in all battleground states in 2016 and during the midterms in 2018. Apparenty
their questions take into account the "Shy Trump/Conservative" voter scenario.
California 55
NY 29
Illinois 20
NJ 14
Virginia 13
Washington 12
Massachusetts 12
Arizona 11
Maryland 10
Wisconsin 10
Colorado 9
Connecticut 7
Oregon 7
Nevada 6
New-Mexico 5
Maine 3 (out of 4)
New-Hampshire 4
Rhode Island 4
Hawaii 4
Delaware 3
Washington DC 3
Vermont 3
Nebraska 1 (out of 5)
Total 245
We'll see!!
Any updates? Do you still predict Trump wins in Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania?
FBI and DOJ have confirmed that it is Hunter's laptop and they have it. There are videos of him smoking crack and having sex with prostitutes and much worse supposedly that he obviously filmed himself..
One flaw in this analysis by CNN and Kasparov is that Trump is going to win.
Can you point me to a source that states that either the FBI or DOJ have confirmed that it is Hunter Biden's laptop? I am aware that the laptop is in the FBI's possession.
I should not have referred to a business relationship. My point was that my sending an email to a person with whom I had a relationship, which mentions meeting with you, does not imply that there is any kind of relationship between the two of us, let alone *prove* that there was one.
I was aware of the fact that Biden junior had been on the board of Burisma.
It has been difficult to separate the wheat from the chaff on this stuff. People on this board have claimed that the laptop is confirmed to be Hunter Biden's. Yet even the Daily Caller uses words such as allegedly or reportedly. As I said, of what has been reported, so far there is more smoke than gun. Is it worthy of follow-up? Of course.
To add some chess relevance to this thread, Garry Kasparov has done another op-ed:
FBI and DOJ have confirmed that it is Hunter's laptop and they have it. There are videos of him smoking crack and having sex with prostitutes and much worse supposedly that he obviously filmed himself..
One flaw in this analysis by CNN and Kasparov is that Trump is going to win.
Agree with your scenario example, but, does not correspond with the situation here,The business relationship existed by Hunter Biden's own admission in interviews with ABC news a year ago. Sorry, but you are still presenting nonsensical arguments.
Interviewer-"If your last name wasn't Biden do you think you would of been asked to be on the board of Burisma?"
Hunter Biden- "I don't know"
I should not have referred to a business relationship. My point was that my sending an email to a person with whom I had a relationship, which mentions meeting with you, does not imply that there is any kind of relationship between the two of us, let alone *prove* that there was one.
I was aware of the fact that Biden junior had been on the board of Burisma.
It has been difficult to separate the wheat from the chaff on this stuff. People on this board have claimed that the laptop is confirmed to be Hunter Biden's. Yet even the Daily Caller uses words such as allegedly or reportedly. As I said, of what has been reported, so far there is more smoke than gun. Is it worthy of follow-up? Of course.
To add some chess relevance to this thread, Garry Kasparov has done another op-ed:
I still haven't heard much about the "nightmare" scenario that could come out of this election:
Trump wins legitimately (although he probably loses popular vote), but the Senate turns decidedly Democratic (and the House remains controlled by Democrats).
It's a nightmare scenario because nothing will be able to get done for 4 entire years. Well, except for Trump's Executive Orders which would become more nefarious than ever.
Mid-Term Elections could shorten that. Look at Obama's last 2 years, didn't he have the same problem? I can't recall for sure.
I still haven't heard much about the "nightmare" scenario that could come out of this election:
Trump wins legitimately (although he probably loses popular vote), but the Senate turns decidedly Democratic (and the House remains controlled by Democrats).
It's a nightmare scenario because nothing will be able to get done for 4 entire years. Well, except for Trump's Executive Orders which would become more nefarious than ever.
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