Can Biden win?

[Vlad Drkulec]

With that in mind,

I have moved Michigan and Wisconsin into the Biden win category.

I think you are going to be wrong on both of those states. Whitmer is hated in Michigan. She just got a big setback in the state supreme court which found that her decrees were unconstitutional. They have ignored the ruling and have substituted more orders which will also be ruled unconstitutional. Trump will win Michigan in large part because of witless Whitmore.

[Lucas Davies]

Polls from the past month I've found on Whitmer's approval rating:

51% approve; 41% disapprove: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...ds/5898087002/
61% approve; 38% disapprove: https://wwjnewsradio.radio.com/artic...uring-pandemic
59% approve; 38% disapprove: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...ds/5750849002/

[Vlad Drkulec]

Polls from the past month I've found on Whitmer's approval rating:

51% approve; 41% disapprove: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...ds/5898087002/
61% approve; 38% disapprove: https://wwjnewsradio.radio.com/artic...uring-pandemic
59% approve; 38% disapprove: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...ds/5750849002/

Keep telling yourself that. If you are right then the polls are right. The fact that there are more Trump signs than Biden signs in rural Michigan don't mean a thing.

[Victor Plotkin]

Victor, I would be very interested to know the bookmaker odds on each of my battleground states!!

According to sportinteraction.com:

General election: Trump 37%, Biden 63%

Arizona: Trump 38% - Biden 62%

Florida: Trump 47% - Biden 53%

Georgia: Trump 60% - Biden 40%

Iowa: Trump 64% - Biden 36%

Michigan: Trump 28% - Biden 72%

N.Carolina: Trump 51% - Biden 49%

Pennsylvania: Trump 25% - Biden 75%

Texas: Trump 74% - Biden 26%

I am still waiting for Trump with 25% or less...

[Bob Gillanders]

Polls updated today show Biden with a lead in Pennsylvania of 7 points,
so I am adding it to Biden win column.

Thanks Erik for the voting history for Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Since they are historically Democrat, it gives us greater confidence in the poll results.

Thanks Lucas for the approval rating links for Governor Whitmer.
She took action to combat the virus, no doubt getting under Trump's skin.
I don't think any action in Michigan to overturn the vote would succeed.

So, that gives Biden a minimum of 279 votes.
Thus I am calling it for Joe Biden.

Congratulations Joe.

[Victor Plotkin]

Don't celebrate to early, Bob. Biden indeed is a favorite right now, but it's far from over. Usually, I like betting on underdogs. Importantly, underdog should be "alive" and not "dead". Trump is not dead yet.

4 years ago, in October 2016 Trump had even longer odds, between 4 and 5.5, which reflected the probability of 15% to 22%. I betted 500 USD on him at 5... it wasn't so bad.

[Neil Frarey]

Biden is not going to win in 2020 ... CNN & Co. will do that for him.

:))))

Best win yet ...

https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/1314195279894253568

...major media outlet USA Today ran that poll ... LOOL!!

A poll all about who won last night's VP Debate, LOL. Republican Vice President Mike Pence ...isn't even on the poll ...WTF???

Perfect example of how CNN & Co. will win this election for Barely There Biden.

Perfect ...sigh.

[Lucas Davies]

I guess some people really do hate Whitmer: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...er/5922301002/

[Lucas Davies]

Biden currently sitting at his all time highest national lead. Since the debate in September, he's increased this lead by 2.8 points: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eral/national/

538 has Biden's lead 4.8 points higher than Hillary's was on this day, and RCP has it 6 points higher.

[Neil Frarey]

True to life animation of Barely There Biden being control by The Squad...

https://twitter.com/i/status/1312100419728896001

Ha!

[Vlad Drkulec]

I guess some people really do hate Whitmer: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/ne...er/5922301002/

The funny part are that these are the left wing radical anarchists, at least in part, which the Democrats have been using. The people who are most in danger in a Marxist revolution are the Marxists as those in charge are paranoid and always wanting to make an example of their rivals or perceived rivals.

Today, I picked up this book on kindle which details the experience of a person who was in the communist party in the Soviet Union and fell into disfavour and was shipped off to a camp as punishment:

https://www.amazon.ca/dp/B00DKMZEB0/...22412850_TE_DP

Journey into the Whirlwind: The Critically Acclaimed Memoir of Stalin's Reign of Terror Kindle Edition
by Eugenia Semyonovna Ginzburg (Author) Format: Kindle Edition

A woman’s true account of eighteen years as a Soviet prisoner: “Not even Alexander Solzhenitsyn’s One Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovich matches it.”—The New York Times Book Review

In the late 1930s, Eugenia Ginzburg was a wife and mother, a schoolteacher and writer, and a longtime loyal Communist Party member. But like millions of others during Stalin’s reign of terror, she was arrested—on trumped-up charges of being a Trotskyist terrorist counter-revolutionary—and sentenced to prison.

With sharp detail and an indefatigable spirit, Ginzburg recounts her arrest and the eighteen harrowing years she endured in Soviet prisons and labor camps, including two in solitary confinement. Her memoir is “a compelling personal narrative of survival” (The New York Times Book Review)—and one of the most important documents of Stalin’s brutal regime.

“Deeply significant…intensely personal and passionately felt.”—Time

“Probably the best account that has ever been published of…the prison and camp empire of the Stalin era.”—Book World

Only 99 cents today.

This is a recurring theme in these socialist systems.

[Dilip Panjwani]

This is a recurring theme in these socialist systems.

Vlad, fully agree that socialist authoritarianism is evil. Would you agree that right wing fascism is just as bad?

[Vlad Drkulec]

Vlad, fully agree that socialist authoritarianism is evil. Would you agree that right wing fascism is just as bad?

Yes. Right wing fascism/socialism is just as bad as left wing socialism/communism.

Fascism is bad. Antifa is bad.

[Aris Marghetis]

...
Fascism is bad. Antifa is bad.

I just cannot resist lol pointing out that the Antifa name was constructed from the words "anti-fascism".

[Vlad Drkulec]

I just cannot resist lol pointing out that the Antifa name was constructed from the words "anti-fascism".

How Norway got rid of Antifa with the help of Iron Willy

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZdXPfzgRtY

"Most people thought Antifa were losers and openly ridiculed them."

The people who support antifa are losers and should be openly ridiculed.

Stupid people who use the fascist label are usually quite limited in their intellectual abilities except in those few cases where they are applying the label to actual fascist which is not the case in the context where it was used on this forum.