Prediction - US Presidential 2024

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  • Peter McKillop
    replied
    Originally posted by Sid Belzberg View Post

    Yeh, you clearly said, "It is not insane," then used DOJ bullshit to rationalize your statement.
    Virginia and other states that disagree with provisions of The National Voter Registration Act of 1993, have had, obviously, decades in which to lobby Washington for amendments. Apparently that didn't happen and now Virginia has allegedly decided to violate that law and the DOJ has decided to do their job. And that's some kind of conspiracy theory to you, Sid?
    I hope the following comment, taken as a generalization, doesn't apply to you:

    ".... one appeal of conspiracy theories is that they absolve their believers of accountability, replacing the difficult obligation to build relationships with the easy urge to destroy."
    - Dara Horn

    Leave a comment:


  • Vlad Drkulec
    replied
    Originally posted by Sid Belzberg View Post

    How insane is it that the Biden-Harris Administration is suing states to KEEP non-citizens on their voter rolls?
    It is pretty insane and has been stopped by the Supreme Court according to reports.

    One wonders why the Justice Department would choose this hill to die on. They probably realize that a Trump win will mean that they will be accountable for the excesses of the last few years.

    Leave a comment:


  • Sid Belzberg
    replied
    Originally posted by Peter McKillop View Post

    I didn't say or imply that people who are ineligible to vote should be allowed to vote. I didn't say or imply that states should not be allowed to clean up their voter rolls. I simply pointed out that Virginia is allegedly in violation of a federal law. Were you up past your bedtime last night, Sid? A little cranky this morning? ...... DUH
    Yeh, you clearly said, "It is not insane," then used DOJ bullshit to rationalize your statement.

    Leave a comment:


  • Peter McKillop
    replied
    Originally posted by Sid Belzberg View Post

    Sounds like more bullshit from the same DOJ that procescuted the Russia Hoax of electiopn interference case in 2016, can you say "fake Steele Dosier" bought and paid for by Hillary Clinon's capmpaign. Twenty-five states say otherwise, Peter! The constitution clearly states that only US citizens can vote ....DUH
    I didn't say or imply that people who are ineligible to vote should be allowed to vote. I didn't say or imply that states should not be allowed to clean up their voter rolls. I simply pointed out that Virginia is allegedly in violation of a federal law. Were you up past your bedtime last night, Sid? A little cranky this morning? ...... DUH

    Leave a comment:


  • Sid Belzberg
    replied
    Originally posted by Peter McKillop View Post

    It's not insane. The DOJ has no problem with states trying to systematically purge their voter rolls of ineligible voters so long as, in accordance with federal law, the purge doesn't occur within 90 days of a federal election. Virginia, for example, had from and including November 2020 to and including early August 2024 to bring their rolls up to date. What is their motive for wanting to contravene a federal law that has been in effect for over 30 years? The following was copied from a DOJ press release dated October 11.

    ************************************
    "The Justice Department announced today that it has filed a lawsuit against the State of Virginia, Virginia State Board of Elections and Virginia Commissioner of Elections to challenge a systematic state program aimed at removing voters from its election rolls too close to the Nov. 5 general election in violation of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 (NVRA).
    Section 8(c)(2) of the NVRA, also known as the Quiet Period Provision, requires states to complete systematic programs aimed at removing the names of ineligible voters from voter registration lists no later than 90 days before federal elections. The Quiet Period Provision applies to certain systematic programs carried out by states that are aimed at striking names from voter registration lists based on a perceived failure to meet initial eligibility requirements — including citizenship — at the time of registration."

    https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justi...ematic-efforts
    Sounds like more bullshit from the same DOJ that procescuted the Russia Hoax of electiopn interference case in 2016, can you say "fake Steele Dosier" bought and paid for by Hillary Clinon's capmpaign. Twenty-five states say otherwise, Peter! The constitution clearly states that only US citizens can vote ....DUH

    Leave a comment:


  • Peter McKillop
    replied
    Originally posted by Sid Belzberg View Post

    How insane is it that the Biden-Harris Administration is suing states to KEEP non-citizens on their voter rolls?


    Click image for larger version  Name:	Screenshot 2024-10-30 at 10.13.19 AM.png Views:	0 Size:	407.9 KB ID:	237893
    It's not insane. The DOJ has no problem with states trying to systematically purge their voter rolls of ineligible voters so long as, in accordance with federal law, the purge doesn't occur within 90 days of a federal election. Virginia, for example, had from and including November 2020 to and including early August 2024 to bring their rolls up to date. What is their motive for wanting to contravene a federal law that has been in effect for over 30 years? The following was copied from a DOJ press release dated October 11.

    ************************************
    "The Justice Department announced today that it has filed a lawsuit against the State of Virginia, Virginia State Board of Elections and Virginia Commissioner of Elections to challenge a systematic state program aimed at removing voters from its election rolls too close to the Nov. 5 general election in violation of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 (NVRA).
    Section 8(c)(2) of the NVRA, also known as the Quiet Period Provision, requires states to complete systematic programs aimed at removing the names of ineligible voters from voter registration lists no later than 90 days before federal elections. The Quiet Period Provision applies to certain systematic programs carried out by states that are aimed at striking names from voter registration lists based on a perceived failure to meet initial eligibility requirements — including citizenship — at the time of registration."

    https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justi...ematic-efforts

    Leave a comment:


  • Sid Belzberg
    replied


    How insane is it that the Biden-Harris Administration is suing states to KEEP non-citizens on their voter rolls?


    Click image for larger version

Name:	Screenshot 2024-10-30 at 10.13.19 AM.png
Views:	42
Size:	407.9 KB
ID:	237893
    Last edited by Sid Belzberg; Wednesday, 30th October, 2024, 10:14 AM.

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  • Vlad Drkulec
    replied
    Originally posted by Bob Gillanders View Post

    Hi Frank, I don't trust the polls anymore. Everything now seems to be just lies, propaganda and spin.

    Trump made some good moves recently, the McDonald's visit to make fries, and the Joe Rogan interview. Both meant to make him seem less scary and a more likeable guy. I could only get thru 20 minutes of the Rogan interview, but for MAGA folks, I am sure they loved it.

    But for all the good those two moves did, he likely lost more votes due to the Madison Square Gardens rally on Sunday.

    So, I am staying with my first prediction from August 10, that Harris wins all the battleground states with 319 votes.
    I repeated that prediction on Aug 17, 29, Sept 21, and now today.

    I have no evidence, polls, arguments, I wish to convey at this time. I just wanted to go on the record so I can say "I told you so" later.

    Oh sure, I could be completely wrong. Trump could win, legitimately or otherwise.

    My prediction is that Trump wins six or seven of the seven swing states. Kamala Harris is a pathetic candidate asking people to turn the page and they will by electing Trump.

    The average of polls seems to favour Trump more and more.

    I watched the Rogan podcast. I doubt that Kamala could pull off a similar feat of talking for three hours without a teleprompter. Three hours of, "I was born in a middle class family" probably wouldn't work with Rogan.

    I guess the final tally will depend on how many illegals are able to stay on the voting rolls. The Justice Department is suing to keep them on the rolls. Why is that if they are not planning to cheat?

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Gillanders
    replied
    Originally posted by Frank Dixon View Post
    Eight days ahead of the main voting date, Tues. Nov. 5, Donald Trump seems to be building small polling edges in most of the seven battleground states, according to 538.com, which has a wide collection of state-by-state data, across more than just the presidential race. These are Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada.
    Hi Frank, I don't trust the polls anymore. Everything now seems to be just lies, propaganda and spin.

    Trump made some good moves recently, the McDonald's visit to make fries, and the Joe Rogan interview. Both meant to make him seem less scary and a more likeable guy. I could only get thru 20 minutes of the Rogan interview, but for MAGA folks, I am sure they loved it.

    But for all the good those two moves did, he likely lost more votes due to the Madison Square Gardens rally on Sunday.

    So, I am staying with my first prediction from August 10, that Harris wins all the battleground states with 319 votes.
    I repeated that prediction on Aug 17, 29, Sept 21, and now today.

    I have no evidence, polls, arguments, I wish to convey at this time. I just wanted to go on the record so I can say "I told you so" later.

    Oh sure, I could be completely wrong. Trump could win, legitimately or otherwise.


    Leave a comment:


  • Pargat Perrer
    replied
    Originally posted by Frank Dixon View Post
    Eight days ahead of the main voting date, Tues. Nov. 5, Donald Trump seems to be building small polling edges in most of the seven battleground states, according to 538.com, which has a wide collection of state-by-state data, across more than just the presidential race. These are Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada.

    The effect of Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein could be significant in several of the battleground states. She will take votes away from the Democrats, as she did in 2016, arguably leading to Trump's overall victory.

    In 2000, Green Party candidate Ralph Nader took enough votes away from the Democrat Al Gore Jr. in New Hampshire, to allow Republican George W. Bush to win that state, just enough to take the White House.
    They may have to change the name of the Green Party to the Red Party.

    Leave a comment:


  • Frank Dixon
    replied
    Eight days ahead of the main voting date, Tues. Nov. 5, Donald Trump seems to be building small polling edges in most of the seven battleground states, according to 538.com, which has a wide collection of state-by-state data, across more than just the presidential race. These are Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada.

    The effect of Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein could be significant in several of the battleground states. She will take votes away from the Democrats, as she did in 2016, arguably leading to Trump's overall victory.

    In 2000, Green Party candidate Ralph Nader took enough votes away from the Democrat Al Gore Jr. in New Hampshire, to allow Republican George W. Bush to win that state, just enough to take the White House.

    Leave a comment:


  • Dilip Panjwani
    replied
    Originally posted by Bob Armstrong View Post
    The solution is not individual action.

    Systems have to be changed.

    Bob A
    Yes, they have to be changed for the better, not made worse by Marxism, which would make everyone poorer eventually!

    Leave a comment:


  • Pargat Perrer
    replied
    Originally posted by Tom O'Donnell View Post
    Nothing prevents Gates from voluntarily donating his wealth to the government if he wants.
    True, but he wants to go further than that ... he wants an ideological movement towards the idea that democratically-elected governments are given the go-ahead to limit the preposterous levels of wealth disparity that exist right now and harm society.

    What I haven't seen though is what Gates and other billionaires think about the excessive levels of wealth granted to politicians. That to me is equally important to address ... to cut back the excesses of politics.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bob Armstrong
    replied
    The solution is not individual action.

    Systems have to be changed.

    Bob A

    Leave a comment:


  • Tom O'Donnell
    replied
    Nothing prevents Gates from voluntarily donating his wealth to the government if he wants.

    Leave a comment:

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